- Joined
- Nov 17, 2020
- Messages
- 32
- Points
- 64
The situation in the south-east of Ukraine is stalemate.
Ukraine will not voluntarily give up the full independence of the DPR and LPR, but will not be able to stage a cosplay of the Croatian operation "Tempest".
And don't forget that many civilians have received Russian passports. If the Ukrainian military starts killing Russian citizens, then the Russian army will simply have to protect them. And we will see a new peace enforcement operation, like in Georgia in 2008.
And friends from NATO will not defend Ukraine (they did not defend Georgia), they will express their deep concern and that's it.
Then there will be sanctions, debates in the UN, but this will not fix the situation. It is easier for Ukraine to let go of the rebellious territories and start developing its country for the benefit of the remaining Ukrainian citizens.
Ukraine will not voluntarily give up the full independence of the DPR and LPR, but will not be able to stage a cosplay of the Croatian operation "Tempest".
And don't forget that many civilians have received Russian passports. If the Ukrainian military starts killing Russian citizens, then the Russian army will simply have to protect them. And we will see a new peace enforcement operation, like in Georgia in 2008.
And friends from NATO will not defend Ukraine (they did not defend Georgia), they will express their deep concern and that's it.
Then there will be sanctions, debates in the UN, but this will not fix the situation. It is easier for Ukraine to let go of the rebellious territories and start developing its country for the benefit of the remaining Ukrainian citizens.