BZ -- If I were Russia, or China, or any other major power on this planet that wanted to act with the comfort of knowing that the USA would not do much to get in the way other than offer stale rhetoric, I'd take action while the getting was good. I truly hate to say it, but I don't think the current President and his underlings are up to such a crisis, and they certainly don't have the stomach for it. They're too worried about a racism "problem" of their own creation, and are focused on fleecing anyone that earns a good living, so they can give handouts to the lazy. I truly fear for Ukraine, Taiwan, and other areas that are on the wishlists of Moscow and Beijing.
RL
I’m no expert but this opinion seems to me like the typical pit western press loves to fall into.
Somehow in everyone’s imagination invading and occupying territory is primarily a question of military potency.
In my imagination effectively invading and occupying is only about 5% of the work. The other 95% is working on integrating infrastructure, communications, legal institutions, information sphere, law enforcement, etc. And the bigger is the country you invaded, the harder it is to pull off those 95%
Maybe China would be capable of doing this to Taiwan. But I don’t see neither the Kremlin nor the Russian General Staff ever accepting subjecting themselves to the nightmares of integrating Ukraine. If they would end up invading it would be at a big loss to themselves, so I find it difficult to believe they’re at all interested in doing it regardless of whether Biden or someone else is in the White House.
Wasn’t everyone yelling that Trump is a Russian agent and Biden is Russia’s enemy? Seems it’s fine to change the underlying foundation of all the hysterical rhetorics as often as once every 2 months to continue justifying an otherwise inconsistent and frankly chaotic explanation of who are the bad guys and who are the good guys.
If Russia commits to invading and taking more territory, it will be knowingly at a huge loss to oneself and likely out of desperation to delete what it perceives as the 21st century Cuban Missile Crisis unfolding just about 400km from Moscow