In other aircraft news, the new German government – having pledged to make arrangements for a replacement of the ageing Tornado strike fighter within a year of taking office – has announced it will re-evaluate the decision of Angela Merkel's administration to select Boeing's F/A-18 E/F and EA-18 as a surrogate. This news comes amidst mounting pressure on Berlin to beef up NATO's military credibility on the continent.
Contributing to NATO's nuclear deterrent had given the left-leaning three-party coalition under new Chancellor Olaf Scholz quite the headache. The coalition eventually reaffirmed its commitment last December under the impression of rising tensions with Russia. Additionally, Scholz's liberal junior partners had expressed concerns over the military rationality of the "Super Hornet", asking that the Lockheed Martin F-35 be reconsidered.
At this point, it is unclear to which stage the assessment process will revert. The selection is complicated by the need to also replace the electronic warfare variant of the Tornado, a capability held available within NATO only by the USA, Italy and Germany. Originally, Berlin had eyed a variant of the Boeing F-15, the F/A-18 E/F, EA-18, F-35 and a yet-to-bedeveloped Typhoon ECR, alongside more ground attack-optimised Typhoons.
With the F-15 having been eliminated on cost reasons, the F/A-18, EA-18 and Typhoon entered the final selection phase in 2019. In a somewhat controversial move, the F-35 was not selected over French concerns for a negative impact on the Franco-German FCAS 6th generation fighter programme. Industry observers believe progresses made in passive radar technology by sensor specialist Hensoldt also contributed to that end.
The German Air Force publicly states a requirement for some 90 aircraft. (
Source, paywall)
– It seems to me the F-35 could come out on top this time. Boeing's recently announced offer to having parts of the Super Hornet built in Germany could be a panic move on their part. Some of the F-35 programme's weaknesses have been solved – or at least become solve-able – since the late 2010s. And the situation in Ukraine would now justify not to merely seek a stand-in solution until FCAS becomes ready.
With Donald Trump not being president anymore, the taboo against concluding multi-billion deals with the US has fallen. Last but not least, Hensoldt has introduced the Kalaetron family of jammers which could reduce the time Airbus requires to churn out the Typhoon ECR (which would eliminate the best argument in favour of the F/A-18 E/F). I'll never understand why the consortium didn't develop that EW variant before it was needed.