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Warfare Russia/Ukraine War
- Thread starter morris
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Footage of the Russian kamikaze drone Lancet-51 hitting the Ukrainian Tunguska air defense missile system, near the village of Peschanoye. The 2S6 Tunguska anti-aircraft gun and missile system was developed in the USSR in 1982; now it is quite rare in the Ukrainian and Russian armies. ZRPK "Tunguska" has two 2A38 guns with a caliber of 30 mm and missile weapons. The range of hitting targets with missiles is up to 8 km, and the height is up to 3.5 km. As a result of the Lancet drone strike, a fire started in the Tunguska air defense missile system.
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Quite Rare? It was pretty common 2 years ago. What happened to make it 'rare'? And how is a man on a moped with an AK47 a replacement?
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On the current mood in Russia:
FOM Institute has run a survey on how Russians view their future in the short and medium term. As the questionnaire put before them was fairly neutral, it can be assumed the pollees answered without fear of prosecution. According to FOM's findings, 37% expect a positive change in their conditions in the short term (i.e. 6-12 months), 33% believe everything will remain the same, and 11% think their lives will get worse. Overall, the proportion of pessimists has fallen compared to previous years.
As far as future developments are concerned (beyond 12 months), 43% expect positive changes; however, this represents a drop of 10% compared to the last such survey back in April. 19% expect no changes, and 14% fear things will get worse (this figure has doubled compared to the April survey). Overall, a relative majority is optimistic; this is mostly a statistical effect attributable to pensioners and the wealthy, though. Younger generations and the poor are more skeptical and even pessimistic in comparison. (Source)
This supports the impression that there is no desire for change in Russian society, though it also explains why the Kremlin continues to rely on volunteers instead of forcing young men to serve on the frontlines (despite the considerable financial burden associated with enlistment bonuses).
As to the military situation:
According to President Selenskyi, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have formed an operational reserve of fourteen brigades. Russian Z-bloggers confirm this through their observations. Sukonkin identifies (source) the formations held in reserve as Mechanised Brigades 150 through 154; Infantry Brigades 155 through 159; 3rd Armoured Brigade; and a whole host of separate infantry battalions. Should they be at their designated strength (quite likely given their reserve status and the overall situation picture), the Ukrainians would have a quick reaction force of between 50,000 and 70,000 well-rested troops at their disposal. Not enough to turn the tide, but more than enough to plug any hole.
Going with conventional military wisdom, the Russians would have to muster an offensive force of between 150,000 and 210,000 troops in order to overcome this reserve – which is roughly the same as their entire combat arms force in Ukraine. If the Ukrainians organise their defence as a delaying battle, Russia would need an even bigger force (all the way up to 7:1). They simply do not have this kind of manpower, not without implementing general mobilisation first. In other words, no substantial change is to be expected anytime soon.
FOM Institute has run a survey on how Russians view their future in the short and medium term. As the questionnaire put before them was fairly neutral, it can be assumed the pollees answered without fear of prosecution. According to FOM's findings, 37% expect a positive change in their conditions in the short term (i.e. 6-12 months), 33% believe everything will remain the same, and 11% think their lives will get worse. Overall, the proportion of pessimists has fallen compared to previous years.
As far as future developments are concerned (beyond 12 months), 43% expect positive changes; however, this represents a drop of 10% compared to the last such survey back in April. 19% expect no changes, and 14% fear things will get worse (this figure has doubled compared to the April survey). Overall, a relative majority is optimistic; this is mostly a statistical effect attributable to pensioners and the wealthy, though. Younger generations and the poor are more skeptical and even pessimistic in comparison. (Source)
This supports the impression that there is no desire for change in Russian society, though it also explains why the Kremlin continues to rely on volunteers instead of forcing young men to serve on the frontlines (despite the considerable financial burden associated with enlistment bonuses).
As to the military situation:
According to President Selenskyi, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have formed an operational reserve of fourteen brigades. Russian Z-bloggers confirm this through their observations. Sukonkin identifies (source) the formations held in reserve as Mechanised Brigades 150 through 154; Infantry Brigades 155 through 159; 3rd Armoured Brigade; and a whole host of separate infantry battalions. Should they be at their designated strength (quite likely given their reserve status and the overall situation picture), the Ukrainians would have a quick reaction force of between 50,000 and 70,000 well-rested troops at their disposal. Not enough to turn the tide, but more than enough to plug any hole.
Going with conventional military wisdom, the Russians would have to muster an offensive force of between 150,000 and 210,000 troops in order to overcome this reserve – which is roughly the same as their entire combat arms force in Ukraine. If the Ukrainians organise their defence as a delaying battle, Russia would need an even bigger force (all the way up to 7:1). They simply do not have this kind of manpower, not without implementing general mobilisation first. In other words, no substantial change is to be expected anytime soon.
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I would have destroyed them after not taking heed of the warnings.
Pretty benevolent. Benevolence is not apt for Ruzzia friends. This must sink in pretty quick.
They can set up shop anew in the East in Putlers and Xis economic paradise, no hard feelings.
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The seven largest European banks in Russia among them also Deutsche Bank profit a lot from the very high interest rates and the fact that they became a lot more attractive in Russia due to the sanctions on Russian banks.
Their share for the Kremlin state coffer increased from 200 mill. € to 800.
We are only doing wishy washy actions all the time it's tedious and drags this sad situation needlessly along. The cretins in the Kremlin can only continue because of this fact.
Sad.
Their share for the Kremlin state coffer increased from 200 mill. € to 800.
We are only doing wishy washy actions all the time it's tedious and drags this sad situation needlessly along. The cretins in the Kremlin can only continue because of this fact.
Sad.
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Or maybe the ammo was made in Best Korea.
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So France had russophiles in charge until last month when they finally reversed that chicken sh*t policy?
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In their part it was about fear, do you think it's the case here?
Direction of change here is relevant, not any given measuring point.
If one one the first things you do in office is to start sabotaging aid to Ukraine with a glee, then how should I consider them?
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Russian military personnel spoke about the use of the Scorpion-M wheeled platform in Ukraine. Typically, the Scorpion-M robotic platform is used for transport purposes, but in this case, the wheeled drone was loaded with explosives and sent to a Ukrainian army stronghold. The route of movement of the robotic platform is adjusted from the FPV drone.
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