An entry from our group:
I have a few thoughts that are coming out of me. So, in this context, I haven't read it before, but of course I'm not sure there's anything new in it. I haven't had the philosopher's stone for breakfast and time may not prove me right, but we'll see.
A world order has collapsed, that is what we are seeing. I just don't think it's the way most people thought it would be, even three days ago, or even two days ago - when the Russian operation was launched.
Although I have always had a not hidden aversion to the current Kremlin leader, I am not wish-driven: the myth of Vladimir Putin is collapsing before our eyes. A gruff, large-framed, two-step ahead of everyone, in control in all circumstances and almost frighteningly cool-headed leader, he is trapped. He dug it himself and, in my opinion, the leader of the White House, who has been called a senile old man and the like, made him dance into it. And, of course, the information bubble that he has built up around himself with the perseverance and perseverance of his not-so-brief reign. As dictators do...
The myth of a modern, effective Russian army has also collapsed. At the planning, logistical and tactical levels, a badly led, demoralised and low combat value army is emerging in the form of gangrenous wrecks and frightened, captured lads. They have been successfully opposed by a force as sneering and perhaps not even trusted by its foreign backers as the Ukrainian state, which is bleeding from a thousand wounds. Of course, they can defeat Ukraine militarily, but it is clear that the Russian army's awe-inspiring domestic and international image, its astonishing improvements, its dreaded electronic warfare equipment, its air defence, artillery, armour and airborne weapon systems are just a fairy tale, and in reality the vast majority of its technology is obsolete. The Russian economy cannot supply its military with it, nor even with basic logistical support.
The economy, which has been ailing for ten years, will be devastated by the sanctions. There is simply nothing else to write about this. The standard of living has been falling for ten years and it will collapse in a short time.
The oligarchs, who made their staggering fortunes at Putin's mercy, are now losing them through him.
The social contract - even by Russian standards - will soon be put to the test, with a surprising and determined anti-war mood.
A week ago, Putin and Russia were both factors in the international community. And he has obsessively insisted that he be seen as such. It took two days and it became pariah. He also reforged divided alliances, fraught with internal problems or in the process of disintegrating, and brought wavering and winking actors back into their natural camps. In many cases, he has undone decades of his own work. From today, to be Putin's ally, agent and propaganda mouthpiece in the civilised world will be tantamount to stigmatisation, and the erosion is only just beginning. A week ago he could have used diplomacy to get results, but where is that now? No one regards him as a reliable partner or as a partner of any kind, and he has achieved results that are completely contrary to his original intentions, from Stockholm to Ankara.
Beijing is waiting. Maybe it will be gracious and, if it is begged for a long time, it might be willing to buy something from the Russians. But that the status quo in their relations will continue to tilt in China's favour and that they will smile and exploit it with unscrupulous abandon is inevitable.
Russia and the throne of Vladimir Vladimirovich at the top of it are crackling. The question is whether, judging by the last few days, the former President himself has not already taken note of this?
Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)
I have a few thoughts that are coming out of me. So, in this context, I haven't read it before, but of course I'm not sure there's anything new in it. I haven't had the philosopher's stone for breakfast and time may not prove me right, but we'll see.
A world order has collapsed, that is what we are seeing. I just don't think it's the way most people thought it would be, even three days ago, or even two days ago - when the Russian operation was launched.
Although I have always had a not hidden aversion to the current Kremlin leader, I am not wish-driven: the myth of Vladimir Putin is collapsing before our eyes. A gruff, large-framed, two-step ahead of everyone, in control in all circumstances and almost frighteningly cool-headed leader, he is trapped. He dug it himself and, in my opinion, the leader of the White House, who has been called a senile old man and the like, made him dance into it. And, of course, the information bubble that he has built up around himself with the perseverance and perseverance of his not-so-brief reign. As dictators do...
The myth of a modern, effective Russian army has also collapsed. At the planning, logistical and tactical levels, a badly led, demoralised and low combat value army is emerging in the form of gangrenous wrecks and frightened, captured lads. They have been successfully opposed by a force as sneering and perhaps not even trusted by its foreign backers as the Ukrainian state, which is bleeding from a thousand wounds. Of course, they can defeat Ukraine militarily, but it is clear that the Russian army's awe-inspiring domestic and international image, its astonishing improvements, its dreaded electronic warfare equipment, its air defence, artillery, armour and airborne weapon systems are just a fairy tale, and in reality the vast majority of its technology is obsolete. The Russian economy cannot supply its military with it, nor even with basic logistical support.
The economy, which has been ailing for ten years, will be devastated by the sanctions. There is simply nothing else to write about this. The standard of living has been falling for ten years and it will collapse in a short time.
The oligarchs, who made their staggering fortunes at Putin's mercy, are now losing them through him.
The social contract - even by Russian standards - will soon be put to the test, with a surprising and determined anti-war mood.
A week ago, Putin and Russia were both factors in the international community. And he has obsessively insisted that he be seen as such. It took two days and it became pariah. He also reforged divided alliances, fraught with internal problems or in the process of disintegrating, and brought wavering and winking actors back into their natural camps. In many cases, he has undone decades of his own work. From today, to be Putin's ally, agent and propaganda mouthpiece in the civilised world will be tantamount to stigmatisation, and the erosion is only just beginning. A week ago he could have used diplomacy to get results, but where is that now? No one regards him as a reliable partner or as a partner of any kind, and he has achieved results that are completely contrary to his original intentions, from Stockholm to Ankara.
Beijing is waiting. Maybe it will be gracious and, if it is begged for a long time, it might be willing to buy something from the Russians. But that the status quo in their relations will continue to tilt in China's favour and that they will smile and exploit it with unscrupulous abandon is inevitable.
Russia and the throne of Vladimir Vladimirovich at the top of it are crackling. The question is whether, judging by the last few days, the former President himself has not already taken note of this?
Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)
