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I'll quote you on this in a week Ivan. And we shall see. And if I am wrong I will be happy to admit it.

Well at this point the Ukrainian counter attack on Vovchansk is on pause and the Russian group around Popasna is making slow but steady progress in Donbass. News is a bit gloomy this last week.

We need to keep in mind though that the Ukrainians themselves give themselves a couple of months to organise their fight back.

Noone saw the Russians run away from Ukrainian troops earlier this year, three weeks after having attacked, quickly taking territory and seeming invincible.

Let's hope they run away a second time. Or lose appetite in losing thousands of kids, trucks and material for a pointless war.
 
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"In early March, Ukraine intelligence said that Chechen commandos sent to assassinate Zelensky had been "eliminated," with help from FSB agents sympathetic to Ukraine"

Interesting.

"Also, on Saturday, February 26, 2022, an assassination attempt by a group of Chechen mercenaries was prevented on the outskirts of Kyiv with the would be assassins killed.[9]"

I guess that is what happens when a bunch of idiots rock up in their Porsche. Then face off against NATO certified SF.

I'm taking all such reports with a grain of salt. Chechens were killed, Kadyrov even admited that. But Ukraine was wrong about Tushayev, who was claimed to have died in such an ambush or strike, but is evidently still alive.
 
Takes livemap about a day to update, but here you go:

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A source would be nice. I track Livemap, but what you claimed was more than what Livemap has even updated for today. In any case the Russians are in a position to cut off maybe later today or by tomorrow the road from Bakhmut to Sievierodonetsk.

Reportedly, today a meeting will be held in Kiev regarding the fate of Severodonetsk.

It may be within the realm of possibility that, in the coming days, it may be completely surrounded.

The AFU cic, for the second week, demands the withdrawal of the group from the city. The political leadership is, allegedly, against it because they believe that the city has a symbolic meaning and value.
Again, source would be nice.

There also appears to be Russian counterattack in near Kharkov. Perhaps aimed at cutting off Ukrainian troops that advanced too far north and east from the city.
It is heading toward the Kharkhov - Staryi Saltiv road (T2014) with a possible prospect to retake towns around Cherkaksi and/or Ruski Tyshky. Doing so would result in the trapping of UA forces north of that all the way to Lyptsi because of the dense forest on the west flank of the Kharkhov - Lyptsi road.
The troops could be fully or semi trapped due to the lack of any major, even secondary roads through the forest.
To remind Ukraine of that is the goal of the counteroffensive.
If UA does not leave strong forces in the front, then Russia will simply advance again, up to the gates of Kharkhov. If there is not significant resistance there, Russia will proceed to surround the city.
I heard about that counter attack. However it's not something ongoing atm and is not going further than it did. Please don't go into that rUsSia StRoNk mode to really believe that if Russia wants it can advance as much as it wants.
 
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Anyways, after the norther offensive this is the first time we see a trashed convoy again.
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Location is 48.69332089760792, 38.38463003390117 which could be in line with the report from the UA general staff that the enemy suffered great loses near Oleksandropilla.
 
I think best would be just to scrap it... how do they see any real value in it is beyond me.
Let them continue, the more money they burn with her and with Admiral Nakhimov, the less they spend in modern small more efficient ships.
I
 
A soldier of Ukraine spoke about the catastrophic state of affairs at the front and the consequences of Russian artillery strikes and the Grad MLRS in Ukraine. The combat work of the MLRS "Grad" of Russia in Ukraine and the story of a serviceman of the Armed Forces of Ukraine further in the video. A short translation of the Ukrainian soldier's speech about the situation at the front. “The strikes of Russian artillery and the Grad MLRS go exactly where they need to, everything is in smoke, everything is constantly under fire, everything is destroyed, the trenches are broken, there is constant shelling, there is no support for Ukrainian artillery yet, they have been shelling for three days already, there is no reaction from Ukrainian artillery everything is falling apart"

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Supplies of Western weapons to Ukraine are in full swing. Dutch tracked armored vehicles YPR-765 were spotted in Ukraine without regular weapons. The YPR-765 armored personnel carrier was developed in the USA in 1970 on the basis of the M113 armored personnel carrier. The Pentagon was not interested in it and the license for its production was sold to the Netherlands. The YPR-765 BMP delivered to Ukraine turned out to be without a turret with an automatic cannon and without a paired machine gun.

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Absolutely nothing but the usual threaths of this and that, they maybe even throw in a couple of airspace violations by their Kaliningrad bound cargo planes. Should the russians be upset about us troops near murmansk? No, not excatly. It's nothing new since Norway.

They are upset bc of the 1,5h driving distance from the Finnish border to downtown St. Petes. They have had very little forces, if anything in that area, even though they have their baltic sea gas and oil terminals over there. Now they need to change all that and it'll will cost them immensely.


We've all seen for past couple of months now how merciful they can be. We know from the past experiences what to expect from them, but the real question is, in fact, do they? You'd be surprised to see how the people over here refer to russians these days with their everyday discussions with each other.
About merciful I'm talking about using artillery. They will erase Finnish forces with katyushas no stop pounding. They don't destroy anything cuz they have to repair it after war and annexation. We saw mairopol entire city become like Syria. Speaking of Syria many refugees are fleeing to Turkey cuz of Russian bombardement. Isis is gone, defeated in 2018 yet syrians doesn't dare to resettle
 
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In some ways, he's not incorrect on this, but definitely with a twist. First, because of the shared history, the Ukrainians are quite familiar with Russian weapons, doctrine, and mentality. It makes it much easier for them to follow the old adage of know thine enemy. At the same time, they've had access to Western training, doctrine, intelligence, and, to some extent, equipment. This allows them to select the best procedures for the job at hand, or maybe even form their own based on the two systems for an optimized solution to any given circumstance. The Russians haven't had this wholesale exposure to Western equipment and ideas, so they're not as sure in any given situation what they'll be facing.

I do find interesting several of the Russian broadcasts as of late. It seems that they're prepping their citizens for either lower expectations.
 
Russian bio war is started..

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In some ways, he's not incorrect on this, but definitely with a twist. First, because of the shared history, the Ukrainians are quite familiar with Russian weapons, doctrine, and mentality. It makes it much easier for them to follow the old adage of know thine enemy. At the same time, they've had access to Western training, doctrine, intelligence, and, to some extent, equipment. This allows them to select the best procedures for the job at hand, or maybe even form their own based on the two systems for an optimized solution to any given circumstance. The Russians haven't had this wholesale exposure to Western equipment and ideas, so they're not as sure in any given situation what they'll be facing.

I do find interesting several of the Russian broadcasts as of late. It seems that they're prepping their citizens for either lower expectations.
Or a longer and bloodier war
The case in the point being the former Col interviews on Russya 1 Channel. He criticizes the russian army deeds while using a semantic that is pretty hardline
 
Or a longer and bloodier war
The case in the point being the former Col interviews on Russya 1 Channel. He criticizes the russian army deeds while using a semantic that is pretty hardline
You finished my sentence for me. I hit the post button without finishing my thought. Serves me right for non caffeinated distracted posting. ?
 
I do find interesting several of the Russian broadcasts as of late. It seems that they're prepping their citizens for either lower expectations.
Preparing them for something. Remember the protestors who broke into the news program? They even blocked out the words on her sign - as to not damage the propagandizing of the Russian populations. Point is, Russian media messaging is extremely tightly controlled.

Sadly, I expect Russia won't accept peace until their military forces are destroyed. This will be a long slog. Many will need to die before it's over.
 
Preparing them for something. Remember the protestors who broke into the news program? They even blocked out the words on her sign - as to not damage the propagandizing of the Russian populations. Point is, Russian media messaging is extremely tightly controlled.

Sadly, I expect Russia won't accept peace until their military forces are destroyed. This will be a long slog. Many will need to die before it's over.
Indeed sadly, logic has no place in this war. Russia looks like it will sit tight, whilst being hit by weapons it cant match. West will slowly move supply to newer and newer systems, as the Ukranians master the tech.

Fortunately, eventually this leads to the russians being destroyed, and the remainder captured or pushed back to the border. Just going to take months.

Sadly then Ukr will need to build a border defense, althought punative raids by Ukr could be the answer to Russian trouble. So as Lavrov said, it will be like Israel and Palestine, only the other way round than he meant.....
 

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