Politics Iran Thread
- Thread starter Mike1976
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I'd been waiting to see how things were turning out before posting, but we have today -IMO at least - a first indication that
There is an interesting piece on Southfront (and yes, I know it's a pro-Russian site, but please bear with me for a moment). They're acknowledged that 33% of all Surface to Ground missile launchers of Iran have already been destroyed. This, combined with the disruption of Iran's air defenses means, IMO, that The Israeli air campaign is working better than expected. Iran has failed to hit Israel's air force structure (at least for the moment) and is suffering the consequences of allowing the IA F to roam freely in their airspace.
Not posting the link, IIRC it's forbidden to link to SF here, but the title of the piece
Iran is now compelled to move closer to its red lines : launching a ground war (an invasion of Iraq) which will, IMO, unite the Arab world against them (like in the Iran-Iraq war of the 80s), or shutting the Strait of Ormuz, which would have about the same effect with the added bonus of creating tensions between Russia (benefiting from the high oil prices) and China suffering from the same.
Lastly, India throwing their support behind Israel is a huge setback for the Mullahs, and a clear indication that the BRICS are splitting, as could be expected. This is now a war of attrition, since Israel didn't manage a decapitation strike at the outbreak of hostilities, but one Iran seems to be losing which could hopefully lead to the regime's demise.
There is an interesting piece on Southfront (and yes, I know it's a pro-Russian site, but please bear with me for a moment). They're acknowledged that 33% of all Surface to Ground missile launchers of Iran have already been destroyed. This, combined with the disruption of Iran's air defenses means, IMO, that The Israeli air campaign is working better than expected. Iran has failed to hit Israel's air force structure (at least for the moment) and is suffering the consequences of allowing the IA F to roam freely in their airspace.
Not posting the link, IIRC it's forbidden to link to SF here, but the title of the piece
Israel Maintains ‘Aerial Superiority’ Over Tehran, Hits Dozens Of Missile Launchers (Videos)
Iran is now compelled to move closer to its red lines : launching a ground war (an invasion of Iraq) which will, IMO, unite the Arab world against them (like in the Iran-Iraq war of the 80s), or shutting the Strait of Ormuz, which would have about the same effect with the added bonus of creating tensions between Russia (benefiting from the high oil prices) and China suffering from the same.
Lastly, India throwing their support behind Israel is a huge setback for the Mullahs, and a clear indication that the BRICS are splitting, as could be expected. This is now a war of attrition, since Israel didn't manage a decapitation strike at the outbreak of hostilities, but one Iran seems to be losing which could hopefully lead to the regime's demise.
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What would a decapitation strike have been then? A lot of military leaders and intel chiefs were killed in the first attack wave. Killing the ayatollah wouldn't have changed anything right away imo since they could just appoint another one as they've done before and hitting "civilian" leaders would be a more politically sensitive thing especially if civilians are hit in the process.
Imagens de ataques de mísseis balísticos iranianos contra uma refinaria de petróleo e usina de energia israelenses em Haifa, filmadas por um morador da cidade. O vídeo também mostra o trabalho da defesa aérea do exército israelense. A julgar pelo vídeo, o ataque com mísseis foi presumivelmente realizado por mísseis hipersônicos Fattah. O resultado dos ataques com mísseis iranianos contra a refinaria de petróleo israelense é mostrado no final do vídeo.
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Even the russians are dazzled right now, forgetting to use the proper language version of their script
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They can hardly be more successful than the one Israel performed indeed... but in the end, even this successful strike but delayed the Iranian reply by a mere day. I think we Westerners should learn a lesson here, you cannot make a decision with a single blow. This means Israel is correct in their change of objectives, this will take longer, but aerial dominance will better degrade Iranian capabalities. I guess tonight, Iran's missile attacks will be easier to handle.
The Israeli Air Force struck two Iranian F-14 Tomcat fighter jets at Tehran's Mehrabad Airport. The F-14 was developed in the United States and was accepted into service in 1974. Iran received 77 F-14s in 1977, but many have been inoperable since then due to losses in combat, lack of spare parts, and crashes due to engine reliability issues. Iranian media reports that the F-14s were decoys specifically placed at the airport.
Iran attempted to launch a missile attack on the Israeli Mossad headquarters in Herzliya. The missiles reportedly missed their target. The missiles used were believed to be medium-range Emad and Ghadr ballistic missiles. A missile attack was also launched on the IDF's Glilot military base camp. The strike was preceded by a night attack by Iran in an attempt to weaken Israel's air defenses, which you can see in action in the video. Not all of the missiles reportedly hit their targets. The video ends with a crater left by the missile strikes and a fire being extinguished at one of the military facilities at Camp Herzog.
The first confirmed footage of an Israeli Hermes 900 drone shot down by Iranian air defense systems. The wreckage of the Israeli drone was found in the Isfahan area; it is unknown what air defense Iran used. The Hermes 900 reconnaissance UAV has been produced by the Israeli company Elbit Systems since 2011. The UAV has a long flight range and is designed for surveillance and strikes in all weather conditions. The Hermes 900 UAV is equipped with satellite communications, optical-electronic sensors, infrared cameras, a laser target designator-rangefinder, synthetic aperture radars, and a target detection radar system. The UAV flight duration is up to 36 hours. The drone weighs 970 kg and can carry up to 300 kg of payload. The UAV flight altitude is up to 9000 km. Flight speed is up to 220 km/h. The price of the Hermes 900 UAV is about 20-30 million dollars.
Iran launched a ballistic missile attack on Israel on the morning of June 19. The strikes targeted the cities of Tel Aviv and Be'er Sheva in southern Israel and other cities. About 30 missiles were launched. The missile attack was repelled by Israeli air defense systems, you can see them in action. According to media reports, Iran's strikes targeted military targets, but judging by the video, the missiles exploded in residential areas. It is worth noting that the city is densely built up and it is unclear where all the missiles hit. It is not yet clear whether this is due to the inaccuracy of Iranian missiles or whether the missiles were shot down by air defense systems. It is already known that the Soroka Hospital in Be'er Sheva was damaged. In the video, from different angles, you can see an explosion near the hospital. According to media reports, the roof of the hospital was destroyed. According to Iranian media reports, the target of the attack was the headquarters of the Israeli army and the IDF intelligence facility, which were located near the hospital. It is also known that the building of the Israeli Stock Exchange and other facilities were damaged. There are currently 30 reported casualties in Israel.
The Israeli Air Force struck the Iranian nuclear complex "Khondab", 75 kilometers from Arak. This nuclear complex includes a heavy water research reactor IR-40 with a capacity of 20 MW. And a heavy water production plant, with a maximum capacity of 16-20 tons per year. At the moment, the nuclear reactor is not functioning. Earlier, Iran informed the IAEA that the reactor should start working in 2026. The aftereffects of the strike on the nuclear reactor are shown at the end of the video.
The video shows the destruction of an Israeli drone by an Iranian air defense system. Presumably, the IAI Eitan UAV, export designation Heron TP, was shot down. The location of the shooting is not reported. The IAI Eitan UAV has been produced since 2004, it is equivalent in size to an airplane, with a wingspan of 26 meters. The IAI Eitan UAV is designed for reconnaissance and strikes on targets. The IAI Eitan UAV develops a speed of up to 407 km / h, at an altitude of up to 14,000 meters. The flight range is up to 7,400 km, the carrying capacity is up to 2,700 kg. The cost of the UAV is about 30 thousand dollars.
Israeli air force has shown footage of an interception of an Iranian drone. In the video, an Israeli F-16, presumably using an AIM-9 missile, shoots down an Iranian kamikaze drone, the Shahed-136. The video was filmed over the city of Daraa, in southwestern Syria, not far from the border with Jordan. It is worth noting that the plane flew through a cloud of shrapnel, which is quite dangerous as it can end in disaster due to damage to the engines and skin. Earlier, a Ukrainian plane crashed because of this.
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How Did Iran Lose the War So Shockingly Quickly? | RFU News
" Today, there are interesting updates from the Middle East. Here, in a war Tehran once promised would reshape the region, the only thing reshaped is Iran’s own military; flattened, blinded, and humiliated in a matter of days. With both its offensive and defensive capabilities shattered beyond repair, Iran now scrambles not for victory, but for a way out.In the opening hours of the Israeli operation against Iran, it became immediately clear that Iran’s air defense network was utterly insufficient to repel an attack from a modern and well-prepared adversary. Already weakened by previous Israeli strikes, Iranian air defenses were systematically dismantled in a series of swift, precision attacks spearheaded by Israeli F-35 stealth fighters. Iran's regime claimed to have downed four such jets, yet the evidence provided was quickly debunked as embarrassingly obvious Photoshop manipulations. In reality, Israeli aircraft rapidly dominated western Iranian airspace, freely operating even over Tehran itself, an unprecedented humiliation. The Iranian Air Force was also quickly neutralized with Israeli planes striking Iranian jets directly on their runways and systematically targeting radar installations, leaving Iran’s air force unable to respond or put up resistance against Israeli airpower.Following this crippling operation, Iran attempted to retaliate with ballistic missiles. While several of them managed to penetrate Israeli defenses, Iran claimed they launched hundreds, indicating that most Iranian ballistics were intercepted before they could hit their targets. However, even this modest success was short-lived. On the second day of the operation, Israeli aircraft rapidly identified and destroyed approximately one-third of Iran's missile launchers, dramatically reducing the volume of subsequent missile attacks. . . . . . "
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In 2016, the Department of Defense formally designated U.S. Special Operations Command (SOCOM) as the lead entity for the Counter Weapons of Mass Destruction (CWMD) mission, a role that U.S. Strategic Command (STRATCOM) had previously held
Loose Nukes In Iran Is A Scenario U.S. Special Operators Have Been Training For
Ground operations in Iran could be needed to secure dangerous nuclear materials and verify the program's destruction, especially if the regime falls.www.twz.com
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Paris, June 21st 2025.
In no uncertain terms, Iranians from the diaspora give regime boot-lickers who wanted to demonstrate in front of the Iranian embassy a good perspective on the true feelings of the Iranian people.
In no uncertain terms, Iranians from the diaspora give regime boot-lickers who wanted to demonstrate in front of the Iranian embassy a good perspective on the true feelings of the Iranian people.
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