Regardless of who wins this election, there is a good chance that tariffs go to zero for both Canada and the US after the election. Canada simply cannot sustain an economic war with the US. Their economy is already being crushed by the Marxists running the show in Ottawa. The Canadian dollar is 60 cents to 1 US dollar and going down fast. It was about 1 to 1 10 years ago.
If Carney wins and continues the economy killing policies of Trudeau, (he will), it will put a lot of pressure on the Western Provinces, like Alberta to think about a few things. If as Carney says, he'd want to join the EU at the behest of the radical left Quebec, (which also continuously threaten to secede unless paid off) and Ontario, I think Alberta and Saskatchewan will say that's it, we're outta here.
Interesting times for Canada.