Russia also runs out of tracked vehicles. The Kursk counter offensive puts its weight on BTR82s.
 
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They need AT LEAST one Bataillon for a counter-offense trying to recover one small town, with full military hardware and air support (mostly drones), jammers and mine cleaners before sending one tank to shoot randomly like a sitting duck. This is not what we see in the videos and the reason is: they dont have the equipment, neither the man for this.
Again, they do not have real air support such as attack helicopters, or jets, these are vital for strikes at enemy front-line positions, supply depots and hitting enemy reinforcements being sent to the particular part of the front under pressure.
 
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A report today on Romanian tv with regards "A Colombian who organized the destruction of some strategic objectives in Romania at the command of Russia was sent to court, in a state of preventive arrest. According to DIICOT, the man had military training."

Seems the guy is a Colombian from the Colombian military intelligence service who is pro-ruSsian apparently he was to find and destroy by fire or explosives sensitive economic and military targets in Romania.

 
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Russia also runs out of tracked vehicles. The Kursk counter offensive puts its weight on BTR82s.
That might not end well if they're still using cheap Chinese tires that go flat when they run over a cactus.
 
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tldr for those interested,

Tsivileva mentioned during a hearing of the Duma's defence committee that 48,000 people had applied for their DNA to be added to a database used for identifiying human remains found in Ukraine. The chairman then told the deputies and reporters present not to repeat that number, which was a state secret, but as the hearing was streamed on the internet it got out anyway.

Tsivileva defended herself by claiming she hadn't actually revealed the number of Russian troops missing-in-action; but since DNA is only taken from people who have a relative officially recognised as MIA, we now know that at least 48,000 Russian troops are missing.

And we learnt something else, too.

'BBC' and 'Mediazona' have been able to identify by name almost 81,000 Russian troops killed-in-action in Ukraine (Source). This puts the regular military death toll in Ukraine to at least 129,000. Why is this important? Well, using an algorithm based on Russia's probate registry, which they were able to verify using leaked documents, 'Mediazona' in July estimated that at least 120,000 regular Russian soldiers had been killed in action at the time. In other words, 'Mediazona's' algorithm appears to be very, very good.

So, that's ~130,000 dead, and it's just soldiers. If you throw the mercenaries into the mix (Wagner alone lost some 20,000 confirmed KIA at Bakhmut), figures putting the overall death toll above 200,000 seem entirely plausible.
 
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So, as of now, we have already had Danish Nico, U.S. Nico, and now we have a Ukrainian Nico on the list.
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I don’t want to be funny, but what’s wrong with Nicos across the world?
 
From Soldat und Technik


(Soldier & Technology)


Situation picture of the Kursk Offensive on December 03 at 21:00 CET.
Ukrainian Kursk Offensive - 17th week
December 4, 2024


There have been no confirmed changes to the front line of the Ukrainian Kursk offensive and the Russian counter-offensive recently, despite ongoing heavy fighting. Although Russian military bloggers have reported that their own troops have advanced towards Malaya Loknya in a wooded area and the village of Novoivanovka, this has not yet been documented. In any case, the terrain gained would be minimal. This means that the fronts remain largely at a standstill since Russian forces were able to advance on Malaya Loknya from the north three weeks ago, but were pushed back in the west.

It is unclear whether this is due to external circumstances such as winter weather conditions or possibly Ukrainian attacks on command and logistics facilities in the Russian hinterland since the use of Western precision weapons was authorized for this purpose. Interestingly, in recent days Ukraine has also managed to reclaim some of the territory further south that Russia occupied in May during its own cross-border offensive from Belgorod Oblast towards Kharkiv.

False reports from Russian commanders
Meanwhile, Russian troops continue to advance slowly but unabated in the Donbas. However, they have still not been able to take the strategically important city of Pokrovsk, thus opening a path into the open lowlands of the Donetsk region. In the Luhansk region, on the other hand, which is now completely controlled by Russia apart from a few small sections, there was recently a scandal involving false reports by Russian commanders.
They had claimed to have taken villages near Sivorsk which, upon inspection by higher authorities, turned out to still be held by Ukrainians. As a result, several officers were allegedly arrested and at least one brigade commander and the commander of the Southern Military District, Colonel General Gennady Anashkin, were replaced.

Significance of the Kursk offensive in a possible Trump initiative
In the meantime, Ukraine and its Western supporters appear to be seriously preparing for a ceasefire initiative by re-elected US President Donald Trump after he takes office on January 20 next year. This would once again emphasize the importance of the Russian territory occupied by the Kursk offensive as a bargaining chip. It would therefore be logical for Ukraine to hold on to it even at the expense of its defense in the Donbas and to secure it by releasing Western precision weapons.

The conspicuous lack of criticism from Trump's official transition team of the release by outgoing President Joe Biden, even the emphasis on good cooperation, suggests that this was done in coordination between the two sides. Trump can also have no interest in a "bad deal" at the expense of Ukraine, which would make him and the USA look weak. The appointment of security policy "hawk" Keith Kellogg as his future Ukraine envoy points in the same direction.

Pro-Russian commentators are now also assuming that Trump will not simply stop American support, but that his threat to increase it further if Russia is unwilling to negotiate is quite serious. Should this come to pass, a freeze of the front on Russian territory as a result of the Kursk offensive would be unacceptable for Moscow, which would have to result in either additional US aid or negotiations on an exchange of occupied territories.

Translated with DeepL.com (free version)
 
Looking back one will clearly recognize that all the "anti escalation" rethoric is pure Russias gains.

Toothless Russian bear is on its last legs...what is the plan if Trump does not do what they want?

They have none that's why they (try) to speed up their costly assaults.

But the big enabler is still China needs to be seriously adressed next.

They can stretch the bears end a bit out.
 
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