About 2,500 F-35s will be purchased and the total number of active AF and ANG fighter aircraft at any point in the 21st century has been 1,300-2,000. The US wants to add copilot aircraft to increase carrying capacity and survivability in high threat environments for their 6th generation aircraft. Not sure if some current aircraft will be getting the capability to use these as well in an update.
The Americans need them to fight China. The #ChinaVirusDevelopers have been rapidly modernising their army, fleet, and aviation.
As I said bit and bobs. "bits and bobs. noun miscellaneous small articles".
I know what you said and you said scrap bits and bobs rather than just bits and bobs.
Here, you have the definition from the Cambridge Dictionary that is commonly used in the UK:
old cars and
machines or
pieces of
metal, etc. that are not now
needed but have
parts that can be used to make other things:
1. to not continue with a system or plan: 2. to get rid of something that is…
dictionary.cambridge.org
By referring to this equipment as a piece of scrap, you are implying that all of that was a piece of sh1t, it was totally unnecessary, and we could get rid of it.
Indeed, your YPR-765s were retired vehicles that had not been used by the Dutch Army at the time you decided to donate them to Ukraine
en.wikipedia.org
but a lot of countries donated their first-line equipment.
So, let me repeat it to you: the Krabs, the Leopard 2A6s, the PzH2000s, the Challenger 2s, and the Swedish CV90s, which were praised by the Ukrainian Army, are not scrap.
The US operates ~2,000 Abrams tanks. So yeah, a dozen or two of Abrams, Leopard etc are bits and bobs.
It's not the case for each and every country. Some countries, like Spain and Portugal, decreased their Leopard 2 fleet by a few tens of per cent.
When you go up against the US army you get to experience being on the receiving end of it's full armoured fist, not a few dozen export hand-me-downs.
The Americans cannot use their full potential in Europe, as they need to keep their reserve for a possible conflict with China.
If you don't understand that Europe is not America's priority, it means you have a problem.
Ukraine could have been in a much better position if it had been given more support post 2014, even if it was just money or technology to upgrade things (like their T-64s), keep more in active service etc.
There's a saying in Poland and RuZZia: "If a grandmother had balls, she would be a grandfather". So, the West did not have the will to support Ukraine till 2022 and what could have been done is totally irrelevant.
Blocking exports means less income and less import (sources). The Chinese are going to want something in return for their support.
Of course, they do. The thing is, I'm under the impression that you believe it would be a key factor for RuZZia to withdraw from Ukraine.
This war isn't an anti-insurgency operation like Vietnam, Jemen or Afghanistan, it's a traditional war for territory. If russia got pushed out of Ukraine in 2022 they could still fire into it, but it's opportunities to attack Ukraine would have been far more limited.
Again, you keep implying that RuZZia could have been pushed out of Ukraine solely by the Ukrainians and, on top of that, you truly believe that even if it miraculously happen, the war would stop.
The main issue is that Ukraine cannot fight to it's full potential because a significant portion of it's territory has been occupied for years, it cannot make money as easily.
Ukraine has never been able to sort out its own sh1t and the RuZZian invasion is just an add-on.
In 1990, Ukraine was roughly 25% richer than Poland, while its economy makes up less than 25% of the Polish economy at the moment.
In 2024, Ukraine's gross domestic product (GDP) was estimated at nearly 189 billion U.S.
www.statista.com
We joined the EU in 2004, but we had already exceeded the Ukrainian economy by a very big margin by that time and there was no RuZZian invasion of Ukraine in 2004.
With russia pushed out any Ukrainian fire lands on russian territory = bad domestic PR for Putler. More targets within range of Ukrainian fires and less within range of russian ones.
You appear not to understand it, Ukraine does not have the manpower to push RuZZia out of its territory. Recruitment officers and doctors who examine potential recruits' health are millionaires, as the current price for avoiding military service reaches $30,000.
You keep believing that we are still in the spring of 2022 when millions of Ukrainians were ready to join the army and a lot of them were rejected for many reasons.
There was no Zaporozhiya offensive except on paper, there was a single day of probing until someone in the hierarchy pulled the plug and moved troops so they could be ground down by the russians around Bakhmut.
I've never used this phrase towards you, but let me be clear: you clearly don't know what you are talking about.
I spent hundreds of hours listening to various professionals talking about this offensive and they said nothing like you.
By saying that there was no offensive, you are offending these tens of thousands of Ukrainian soldiers who were killed in it.
Despite the losses being referred to as "heavy", there was no offensive according to you. I really like your logic:
en.wikipedia.org
There was only one area where they could conceivably attack without major issues (not enough naval assets to attack out of Kherson, going north east would expose both flanks and attacking into russia wasn't allowed by the US).
There was no area like that in the south or the east, as the Orcs mined the sh1t out of the ground they were defending.
The Ukrainians could not pierce the Orc defence, as they could not remove these mines effectively. The Orcs covered the routes with ATGMs, snipers, and artillery and had attack helicopters on standby.
If you need to learn about their proficiency in laying mines, the battle of Kursk in 1943 should be a good lecture.
In short, they are REALLY good at that and, certainly, it's one of their strongest points.
As I've explained it to you many times, the Ukrainians could not deploy too many AD systems close to the frontline, as the Orcs were bombing their cities and power plants. Ukraine is not Holland where you could cover the whole territory with three Patriot batteries and their ranges would be overlapping.
Even if Zaporozhiya was the obvious target the defenses there were less dense than they were in Donbas so it was the logical thing to do. You seem to believe that Ukraine simply putting everything into defending static lines is the only way to go, well that way you just get eroded faster because russia can bring down every bit of firepower that they can muster on those concentrations. Even in a defensive posture you still need to go forward at times. Simply digging in and being inactive to "preserve" forces doesn't work. You'd be fighting blind and surrendering all initiative to the enemy.
It's not what I think.
The Ukrainians cannot coordinate brigades in most scenarios. The intrusion into the Kursk Oblast plus the Kharkiv offensive in 2022 were the only examples where they did it effectively.
There are no divisions and corpses in the Ukrainian Army, brigades don't cooperate in most cases, and some brigade commanders hate one another.
The Ukrainians are obsessed with forming new units, the way Hitler did, but they don't replenish the core and the most experienced brigades. The 72nd Mechanised Brigade, which gave the Orcs a bloody nose when they tried to attack Vuhledar in 2022, was routed when the Orcs took over Vuhledar a few weeks ago. The Ukrainians totally wasted one of their best brigades by not replenishing it and not giving it any rest. How many years do you want random soldiers to be effective for? AFAIK, our missions in #shitholeCountries lasted for 6 months, soldiers were rotated, and another unit replaced them, so the first unit could have some rest and come back to a particular #shitholeCountry after 1-2 years and still be effective. In contrast, many Ukrainian units have been fighting since February 2022 without any rest.
The Orcs use totally different tactics: they push forward and suffer massive losses, so there's hardly anyone who has been participating in the war for 2.5 years. Some RuZZian airborne/marine brigades and tank regiments have been destroyed 2-3 times and they have been rebuilt from scratch. An Orc infantry company can lose 70 men in a week, but another 70 come, so RuZZian soldiers are less tired.
They rotate their units quite frequently and the few Wagner guys who were able to survive did not go to jail again.
In general, you are totally unaware of the Ukrainian limitations.
You truly believed that the West would donate a few tens of F16s and it would be a game-changer.
I was really worried about some countries not giving their F16s to the Ukrainians, while the major problem were not these countries but the Ukrainians themselves.
The WSJ reports that the shift is expected to push back Ukraine's timeline for fielding a whole F-16 squadron by several months.
www.kyivpost.com
You look at that from the perspective of a Dutchman, so your point of view is totally distorted.
In general, the Dutch are very proficient in English, while your proficiency is way above the national average in your country.
I met many Dutchmen in my life, because I grew up in a little town in Poland that was visited by Dutchmen every year, as Druten is our partner town. These people were good at English and they had a very healthy lifestyle. Many Dutchmen have hobbies that keep them fit. They ride bikes, practise judo or other martial arts and they live in a clean environment.
There's nothing like that in Ukraine. Very few people speak English and their lifestyle is not healthy in case of a big percentage of the population.
Being a modern fighter pilot, who wants to use a Western fighter, requires exceptional health, rather than just a very good one, and very good English. The F16 is not the Spitfire or the Sopwith Camel. The Americans train totally different pilots than the Ukrainians. They pick very young candidates and train them to be aces. They don't want to train people in their 40s, as the Ukrainians would like to do, as they know it does not make any sense. Training a modern fighter pilot is extremely costly, so they want to keep him active before retirement as long as possible.
Again, I heard a retired Polish Air Force commander talking about his training on F16s. He spent a fvckton of time learning English in the U.S.A. and it took him more time than learning how to fly an F16. A normal Dutchman or an Englishman simply does not understand it from his point of view. With English lessons added and his experience flying an F16 in Poland, he said it took him 10 years to be as good as the American instructors who trained him. I was shocked, but it's what he said.
In the meantime, some people truly believe an experienced Ukrainian MiG-29 or Su-27 pilot can be trained within a few months and he will erase the Orcs from the sky.
And again we come back to my point that the Ukrainians got bits and bobs to carry out that operation, delivered over the course of many months and after many refusals and politicians sh*tting their pants as usual.
These "bits and bobs" can be referred to the Americans. They donated a negligible part of their potential, but they think about China.
Speaking of Europe, we clearly donated much more than just bits and bobs and we have not replenished what we have given.
You are on the 2% target on defence spending, but it won't make up for your small spending in the past.
You could easily take the Americans out of the equation if Taiwan and Israel needed bigger military assistance. They would prioritise it over Europe. If somebody thinks differently, they are out of touch with reality. Certainly, they cannot deliver supplies to two or three war theatres at the same time.
Furthermore, looking at the U.S. debt would be very helpful:
Congress has approved a deal on the debt limit. But what is the debt ceiling and why does it exist?
www.bbc.co.uk
How many times have the Americans blocked their budget plan due to indebting themselves more and more?
Their missions in #shitholeCountries have greatly contributed to the current debt level, so spending their money on another war makes things even worse.
If Ukraine had been better supported since 2014 they wouldn't have need to wait and could have attacked much sooner after Kherson was retaken when the defenses were far less extensive.
Again, remember what I said about the grandma having balls. You were very enthusiastic about the Ukrainian offensive in 2023. You did not say "if we give 500 Leopard 2s, 2000 M1s, two aircraft carriers, 200 F35s and 300 PzH2000s". You knew what they got and you predicted that the offensive would succeed. Also, I remember you having raised your concern about a large number of armed RuZZians revolting against Putin as early as 2022, giving the WW1 as an example.
Russia and Ukraine started out with fairly similar force levels. Better trained and equipped they would have contained the russian attack even more than they ended up doing.
So what? You keep believing that pushing the RuZZian Army out of Ukraine would have finished the war which is plainly wrong.
Speaking of artillery shells, the Orcs have already used 22 million of them, as a Polish analyst mentioned two days ago. He also said the average RuZZian SPH endurance is 2000 shells, so they have already used up 11,000 barrels and their production process is very lengthy. That's the only good news.
In contrast, a Polish Krab can fire up to 8000 shells before its barrel needs to be replaced, while exceeding 4000 shots is very common.
On the other hand, what are we talking about if the whole NATO had a reserve of 1 million 155mm shells at the end of 2021? We cannot replenish what we have already donated and we buy artillery shells from Pakistan and Serbia to donate them to Ukraine. We produce more than we did in 2022, but the increase is not so massive.
Which is why I mentioned INS. There's no blocking that. ~10-20m for a 500lbs bomb still means you're f*cked. Same idea as the glide bombs.
The Ukrainians don't use guided bombs very frequently. They mostly use GLMRS missiles that are not as effective as they used to be.