A quick sidebar to what's happening in Kiev: my friends were surprised there were few missile strikes new years eve. In their neighborhood, however, a couple drunk guys thought to celebrate the occasion with fireworks. Bad idea, that. Very bad. A "neighborhood watch" type committee gave the pair a severe beating that resulted in an ambulance ride.

Moral of the story - no matter how drunk you are, try to think things through.
 
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While this X user take on things is kind of interesting. To compare each and every past wars or events to something recent/actual lack some context IMO.

We’ve been, well for the oldest of us anyway under the threat of WWIII forever dating back to the Korean War or the missile crisis in Cuba.

I’m not naysaying anything he’s written and maybe that’s a way to express his concerns and ours too, there’s certainly two things I firmly agree with is that Ukraine can’t be let down and the world, at least some of the countries he named are flaring things up.
 

BREAKING: IT APPEARS that Russian General Gerasimov has been Killed. Here's the Story.​



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While this X user take on things is kind of interesting. To compare each and every past wars or events to something recent/actual lack some context IMO.

We’ve been, well for the oldest of us anyway under the threat of WWIII forever dating back to the Korean War or the missile crisis in Cuba.

I’m not naysaying anything he’s written and maybe that’s a way to express his concerns and ours too, there’s certainly two things I firmly agree with is that Ukraine can’t be let down and the world, at least some of the countries he named are flaring things up.
Yeah, a direct correlation relating to what should be done now is not there.

But the basic principle is probably "fires tend to grow". Also, evil still exists.
 
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While this X user take on things is kind of interesting. To compare each and every past wars or events to something recent/actual lack some context IMO.

Yeah, a direct correlation relating to what should be done now is not there.

But the basic principle is probably "fires tend to grow". Also, evil still exists.
There appears to be at least a certain level of coordination going on between China, Russia, Iran, North Korea and Venezuela.

I remember when "Dubya" was ridiculed for his Axis of Evil and it's implication that a long term strategy was at play. Seems like he wasn't far off the mark.
 
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There appears to be at least a certain level of coordination going on between China, Russia, Iran, North Korea and Venezuela.

I remember when "Dubya" was ridiculed for his Axis of Evil and it's implication that a long term strategy was at play. Seems like he wasn't far off the mark.

Yeah, I don’t really want to recap everything Dubya related in this thread but I or plenty of actual Americans went through different phases about him, from total and deserved support for the post 9/11 to the Iraq adventures and what followed.

As they say America tried its best to settle this out and the rest is history.

More on-topic, the axis of evil was accurate from a western point of view and seemed to target primarily Muslims majority countries.

The BRICS, as you have noticed are neither Muslims majority countries but have decided to confront the West.

Of course the jihadis, Iran and proxies, Hamas, AQ or IS remain a threat, but the aforementioned countries will no doubt cause us bigger headaches in the future.
 
There appears to be at least a certain level of coordination going on between China, Russia, Iran, North Korea and Venezuela.

I remember when "Dubya" was ridiculed for his Axis of Evil and it's implication that a long term strategy was at play. Seems like he wasn't far off the mark.
People smell opportunity. And it is not only limited to them. It seems that the hamas attack was very fruitful for Russia and that Putin had met them prior to October 7th seems to indicate hamas that ir could be coordinated.

But stuff is going on everywhere, in West Africa, we are now at three coups with strong ties ro Wagner/Russia. I hear things are heating up in Ethiopia. In Sudan, rebel forces are slowly taking the whole country, in Nigeria a massacre against Christians...No "superpower" is able to control anything.

Here we are in the west with the weight of the world on our shoulders but with only one country really pulling the wagon. And the US is doing its utmost...but little by little we are facing richer countries, weaponizing themselves, opening their economies to a broader choice of countries and we are seeing our influence disminish. At the same time, our poor immigration policies weaken our internal structure.

Dubya made one mega mistake with the Iraq fiasco. He´s unjustly ridiculed for better choices at a tough time for the US. He was misguided in thinking that the whole world wanted the american way of life...it does not. He was misguided in thinking that sanctions could prevent proliferation of weapons...it is not possible: sanctions only helped Iran by removing any control. And lifting sanctions without guarantees like Trump did with the Norks turned into an embarrassing moment for the USA where the Norks unveiled two years later their best and more powerful rocket yet with the Chinese falling on the floor laughing out loud.

In 72, the USA pulled out a masterful move isolating Russia from China after the Nixon visit. At that time Russia and China were not getting along, had nothing interesting to exchange that was not replaceable, and China got its seat at the UN security council and moved up the ladder of powers. The Korean war had ended less than twenty years earlier. It was bold, the timing was perfect, but America´s position in the world was stronger as it was matched by noone on any other level than military.

The years to come will be challenging for us. One thing I am sure of is we will not be able to enforce very long the order we had in the eighties or nineties. We will need to be creative in diplomacy, to track friend and foe better, to choose important fights.
 
I'm just gonna post this here to brag how right I was back then and how stupid these idiots were.

Screenshot (754).webp


Screenshot (755).webp


I also told them that the Russian army had no conventional warfare experience, but nothing could spoil their optimism. And the best thing is that the Russian military high command isn't much smarter. I mean, some random guy on the internet could predict the result while they couldn't and literally send men with anti-riot equipment against tanks and artillery.
 
I think the Gerasimov thing originated from Visegrad 24 so i would take it with a pinch of salt.
IIRC he was said to have been killed already once before. Sadly such piles of excrement can only die once.
 

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