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Wer´nt those vans filmed entering Ukraine earlier with some heavier communication vehicles?
Warfare Russia/Ukraine War
- Thread starter morris
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They should also play Zelensky's speeches in Russian
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With no fertilizes and no natural gas to make them food staples will be quite expensive this yearIt's official, and it was about time.
Bundesregierung liefert Waffen aus Bundeswehr-Beständen an die Ukraine
Der Sprecher der Bundesregierung, Steffen Hebestreit, teilt mit:www.bundeskanzler.de
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The Ukrainian army caught a Russian sniper trying to infiltrate the Military base.
I'm not a great military expert, so I encourage everyone to feel free to debate what I'm about to write.
I think Putin has overlooked this. He may yet get political or military success out of this, but it is less and less likely, and the probability is diminishing by the minute. Of course, there could be a collapse at any time, but I'm listing things that I don't think there's much explanation for other than the mistake.
The Russian military doctrine in their winning wars has always been to attack specific targets with overwhelming force that makes any resistance impossible. By comparison, published maps show that they attacked the entire stretch of the border that they had access to. It is not an offensive that can be drawn on the pages of later history books with beautifully coloured arrows, but an offensive from all directions except the Romanian, Hungarian, Slovak and Polish borders.
This presupposes at least 4-5 logistic centres from where the soldiers would be followed by fuel, ammunition and food. What did they expect? That they would be recruited? In a country from which those who wanted to flee were able to do so because they had somewhere to go, and those who stayed were given rifles and told Putin and all his soldiers to go F*** themselves?
Such an offensive is possible, of course, but it would have to be carried out quickly. But back to the original question: in a country where a small guard on a small island can shoot itself to death but not surrender to the Russians? Meanwhile, he gives a slogan (go F*** yourself...) to the other soldiers? Where the TV comedian turned jury-waitress-turned-president says he doesn't want any part of the American rescue attempt? Where two living legends, the Klicskó brothers, pose with machine guns to keep the soldiers' spirits up? Where Il-76 troop-carrying planes are shot down at night? Is that what they were going to raze in 24-48 hours?
It can be gassed, just not all at once. There doesn't seem to be any such "cut the country in half" type of goal, they're going for Kiev, Kharkiv and a bunch of other cities. Which the people still there are obviously prepared to defend to the death, partly with Western weapons that have proved in the last 24 hours or so to be capable of inflicting heavy losses on the dreaded Russian tanks.
Slowly the 48 and then the 72 hours will approach. In Ukraine, supply lines are operating, war material is coming in from the west. The net is up, there's pretty much electricity. What kind of war is this? What does Putin want? Does he even know what he wants?
He's already given us too much time to react. The time that has elapsed so far has been enough for the big guys to make a deal and to put the little guys (Orban...) in line with a firm kick. Erdogan also split and then closed the Bosphorus (or not, it is uncertain for now).
Enough time has passed for a limited but very significant military response: with no Ukraine cut off along the north-south axis, NATO has enough to keep the west-Ukrainian border open to send in supplies. From then on, it would need air superiority over the whole of Ukraine, and to shoot at anything that moves, because anti-tank missiles can be carried in Passat station wagons. An air superiority over an area the size of Ukraine, lasting for days, with each sortie being flown in from outside the area and flown back to the same place. This is currently proven to be something only the US can do. Putin is now showing that the Russian air force cannot. And if, for example, the 500 anti-aircraft missiles promised by the Netherlands arrive, it will be even less capable, because every second spent below 1500 metres will be a danger to the life of any aircraft. Of course, it is possible to defend against this by scattering an infrared trap, but then you have to put a new one in the plane after every mission, and the Hungarian air force could do this for about a day. I wonder how long the Russians will know when the moment will come when they can attack airfields with cruise missiles, but they won't have to fear a Sukhoi coming all over Ukraine?
These are questions that everyone asks, but there are places where there are answers. And there are places where they can influence them. For example, with British Eurofighters joining the Polish and Romanian air forces. And American F-35s. And if you don't want to escalate a conflict, you don't go near a NATO fighter jet patrolling with live missiles. Result? Or 30-50 km zone (including Lviv...) where there is no need to fear Russian aircraft.
Every hour that Putin fails to bring this to a decision brings him closer to a severe loss of face. Unfortunately, the logical consequence of this is that Sunday night will be even worse than the night before. "Buratino" thermobaric rocket launchers (out of nowhere a full blast furnace, but more like the inside of a blast furnace, you burn alive and/or suffocate) and the like are heading for the area. Before Putin is forced to the negotiating table, he'll try something like that.
t's just that just last night he made Volodymyr Zelensky a perpetual president, and he can only make a great martyr out of him. I think he has today, and tomorrow night at the most, to scare up a military victory. He might do it. If he fails in that time, his logistical shortcomings will simply drive him to the negotiating table. And I think they know that in all the important places. Even in Budapest. Ma'am, this is a fake 20 grand. Help, I've been raped!
I think Putin has overlooked this. He may yet get political or military success out of this, but it is less and less likely, and the probability is diminishing by the minute. Of course, there could be a collapse at any time, but I'm listing things that I don't think there's much explanation for other than the mistake.
The Russian military doctrine in their winning wars has always been to attack specific targets with overwhelming force that makes any resistance impossible. By comparison, published maps show that they attacked the entire stretch of the border that they had access to. It is not an offensive that can be drawn on the pages of later history books with beautifully coloured arrows, but an offensive from all directions except the Romanian, Hungarian, Slovak and Polish borders.
This presupposes at least 4-5 logistic centres from where the soldiers would be followed by fuel, ammunition and food. What did they expect? That they would be recruited? In a country from which those who wanted to flee were able to do so because they had somewhere to go, and those who stayed were given rifles and told Putin and all his soldiers to go F*** themselves?
Such an offensive is possible, of course, but it would have to be carried out quickly. But back to the original question: in a country where a small guard on a small island can shoot itself to death but not surrender to the Russians? Meanwhile, he gives a slogan (go F*** yourself...) to the other soldiers? Where the TV comedian turned jury-waitress-turned-president says he doesn't want any part of the American rescue attempt? Where two living legends, the Klicskó brothers, pose with machine guns to keep the soldiers' spirits up? Where Il-76 troop-carrying planes are shot down at night? Is that what they were going to raze in 24-48 hours?
It can be gassed, just not all at once. There doesn't seem to be any such "cut the country in half" type of goal, they're going for Kiev, Kharkiv and a bunch of other cities. Which the people still there are obviously prepared to defend to the death, partly with Western weapons that have proved in the last 24 hours or so to be capable of inflicting heavy losses on the dreaded Russian tanks.
Slowly the 48 and then the 72 hours will approach. In Ukraine, supply lines are operating, war material is coming in from the west. The net is up, there's pretty much electricity. What kind of war is this? What does Putin want? Does he even know what he wants?
He's already given us too much time to react. The time that has elapsed so far has been enough for the big guys to make a deal and to put the little guys (Orban...) in line with a firm kick. Erdogan also split and then closed the Bosphorus (or not, it is uncertain for now).
Enough time has passed for a limited but very significant military response: with no Ukraine cut off along the north-south axis, NATO has enough to keep the west-Ukrainian border open to send in supplies. From then on, it would need air superiority over the whole of Ukraine, and to shoot at anything that moves, because anti-tank missiles can be carried in Passat station wagons. An air superiority over an area the size of Ukraine, lasting for days, with each sortie being flown in from outside the area and flown back to the same place. This is currently proven to be something only the US can do. Putin is now showing that the Russian air force cannot. And if, for example, the 500 anti-aircraft missiles promised by the Netherlands arrive, it will be even less capable, because every second spent below 1500 metres will be a danger to the life of any aircraft. Of course, it is possible to defend against this by scattering an infrared trap, but then you have to put a new one in the plane after every mission, and the Hungarian air force could do this for about a day. I wonder how long the Russians will know when the moment will come when they can attack airfields with cruise missiles, but they won't have to fear a Sukhoi coming all over Ukraine?
These are questions that everyone asks, but there are places where there are answers. And there are places where they can influence them. For example, with British Eurofighters joining the Polish and Romanian air forces. And American F-35s. And if you don't want to escalate a conflict, you don't go near a NATO fighter jet patrolling with live missiles. Result? Or 30-50 km zone (including Lviv...) where there is no need to fear Russian aircraft.
Every hour that Putin fails to bring this to a decision brings him closer to a severe loss of face. Unfortunately, the logical consequence of this is that Sunday night will be even worse than the night before. "Buratino" thermobaric rocket launchers (out of nowhere a full blast furnace, but more like the inside of a blast furnace, you burn alive and/or suffocate) and the like are heading for the area. Before Putin is forced to the negotiating table, he'll try something like that.
t's just that just last night he made Volodymyr Zelensky a perpetual president, and he can only make a great martyr out of him. I think he has today, and tomorrow night at the most, to scare up a military victory. He might do it. If he fails in that time, his logistical shortcomings will simply drive him to the negotiating table. And I think they know that in all the important places. Even in Budapest. Ma'am, this is a fake 20 grand. Help, I've been raped!
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lol thats about everything we had then
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Yeah, let's send a pink letter of protest to each Putin and NATO. That will certainly end the war. ?
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It are most likely SOF.
I hope critical voices from German high command about negligance, are heard at least now ...
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One sniper with two high-power rifles, of the same caliber apparently, (the one on the right looks like a Savage Arms 110BA Stealth 338 LAP), with gun-club stickers on the scopes?
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Do you have any info regarding the presumed amphibious assault near Mariupol? Did it take place or not? And where...
Yesterday there was a lot of news from the Ukrainian side but today they went pretty silent. I don't think they are doing so well...
Yesterday there was a lot of news from the Ukrainian side but today they went pretty silent. I don't think they are doing so well...
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he's got hornady match ammo and sponsor stickers on his equipment like he is a competition shooter.
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I just posted the same observation. staged pic?One sniper with two high-power rifles, of the same caliber apparently, (the one on the right looks like a Savage Arms 110BA Stealth 338 LAP), with gun-club stickers on the scopes?
Riho Terras who is currently a Member of the European Parliament (EPP Group) and was previously (2011-2018) the Commander-in-Chief of the Estonian Defence Forces. He may even have serious information - in this case - about the capabilities of the Russian army.
That's why I dared to post it here.
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Once again, who knows.
Reverse searching the picture brought back no result.
Could be staged or unrelated. Or even true. As I said: who knows.
But the story and the set-up behind these pictures is disingenuous to say the least.
I mean... you are alone, "behind enemy lines", you drive a toyota pick truck, with two huge "identical" (caliber wise) rifles?
If that guy is a saboteur, he skipped a few classes including the ones teaching you to be mobile and inconspicuous.
limk. please... Netherlands send 200 Stinger, Germany 400 Panzerfaust 3(?)
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