I don't think Russia currently has the troops to stop anyone from anything at this point. Note also to freedom loving Belorussians.
Exactly. Russians moved almost all the heavy equipment and s300 stationed in conflict zones in Georgia. It shouldn’t be a big issue for Georgians to regain control over those places, but I’m not sure about those guys in their government. Anyway, good luck to everyone who’s fighting ruZZia
 
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If protestors topple the current Georgian Regime, Russia will have a big problem there.
I heard a Polish analyst saying that 700,000 Zeds fled to Georgia after the mobilisation and they made up 19% of its population that is 3.7 million at some point in 2022. It's simply insane, bearing in mind Russia fvcked up Georgia just 14 years earlier. There are still 100,000 Zeds living in Georgia, as the vast majority of them moved to different countries or came back to Russia. 100,000 Zeds is still a too big number for a country of 3.7 million people.
 
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Georgians could, technically open Caucasus “front” and that would end ruZZia completely. North Caucasian republics been under ruZZian oppression for 3 centuries now. But, unfortunately, they have the same type of government as Hungary and orban.

I don't think Russia currently has the troops to stop anyone from anything at this point. Note also to freedom loving Belorussians.
1) The Georgian army is too small and under-equipped;
2) Georgia is much more difficult to reach and with far fewer NATO bases in the area to fly in/out of;
3) Less sympathetic neighbors willing to risk future Russian aggression. Russia never forgets. If it means building up for half a century to exact their revenge then that is what they'll do;
3) Ukraine could exchange space for time, Georgia has no such luxury;
4) Demographics as mentioned by @Musashi;
5) Russia can mobilize another 300,000 if if they only get an assault rifle and there wouldn't be anything Georgia could do about it because of the previous points.
 
Georgians could, technically open Caucasus “front” and that would end ruZZia completely. North Caucasian republics been under ruZZian oppression for 3 centuries now. But, unfortunately, they have the same type of government as Hungary and orban.
They could but the west would not be able to help.

A move into Abkhazia would be very threatening for Russia, but i don´think there are the capacities. South ossetia is more psychological than strategic. Those mountains are the best defense perimeter anyone cold dream of.
 
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Another problem is, India buys RuZZian oil with rupees. The RuZZians cannot spend them outside India, as the Indian regulator is against it. So, RuZZia has got a fvckton of rupees, but cannot spend them. Both China and India hold RuZZia by the balls.
 
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Modern cattle slaves:
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Latest news from Bakhmut and other areas reported with some optimism from Heliosrunner

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but there are some tweets a litle more worried.

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My devaluated two cents: Bakhmut is more strategic than we think, and both sides are ready to sustain losses to keep it. A bigger bet from the Ukrainian side than the Russian one.

I do believe Ukraine is flooded with good intell and that decisions are still taken with the necessary mix of pragmatism and risk.

Avdiivka being of course another place to watch.

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I love the MT-LB, the M777 looks out of its element though.

"Ukrainian MT-LB armored personnel carrier towing a 155mm M777 howitzer in muddy terrain. As temperatures rise, a good portion of dirt roads will look like this. This is a factor that significantly limits the operation of heavy equipment."
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Latest news from Bakhmut and other areas reported with some optimism from Heliosrunner

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but there are some tweets a litle more worried.

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My devaluated two cents: Bakhmut is more strategic than we think, and both sides are ready to sustain losses to keep it. A bigger bet from the Ukrainian side than the Russian one.

I do believe Ukraine is flooded with good intell and that decisions are still taken with the necessary mix of pragmatism and risk.

Avdiivka being of course another place to watch.

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General Sirskiy, so far, did a very good job. Won’t be surprised if there will be sudden offensive in a place nobody expects. He’s good at it.
P.S. still wondering, Pentagon is using AI(neural networks) or not? Knowing how good those algorithms are with chess, might be real help in real life
 

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