A special detail in the customs agreement caught the eye – expert: “The figures were completely pulled out of a hat”
“It seems that Trump has been promised some large figure that has been completely pulled out of a hat in order to avoid even higher tariffs,” says Ronkainen.
Ronkainen says that this appears to be a political framework agreement for which no guarantees have been agreed.
The details of the agreement have not yet been published. However, it is known in outline that the EU would buy energy from the United States worth 250 billion dollars over three years, i.e. a total of 750 billion dollars.
In addition, an agreement was made on 600 billion dollars in investments that would be made from Europe to the United States. The amount would include arms sales.
In total, it would amount to 1,350 billion dollars. That would be the same size as the EU's previous seven-year budget, which was 1,200 billion euros, or about 1,385 billion dollars.
Finland's Finance Minister Riikka Purra (PS) had already wondered about the amount, calling it a "grease package" in X and questioning whose mandate it was agreed upon.
In the Politico story, EU insider sources say that the EU cannot afford such promises, and that Brussels knows it. The 600 billion dollars in investments would come from private companies, although the EU cannot force European companies to invest. Ronkainen agrees.
- The Commission and the EU budget do not have that kind of money. And the Commission cannot promise member states' money to anyone. The promised amount may reflect the financial flows of companies to the United States, but the Commission cannot decide on behalf of companies, he says.
If the investments were to be realized on this scale, which Ronkainen considers highly unlikely, it would be out of the scope of intra-European investments.
– After all, it is a huge amount of money.
He understands the arms trade promise, because the European NATO countries will have to increase their defense spending anyway because of this summer's agreement.
– But even then, the Commission cannot decide on behalf of its member states what to spend their money on. And how would it even be monitored? It seems strange and unrealistic from the start.
Riikka Purran ihmettelemä 1 350 miljardia on tutkijankin mukaan epärealistisen paljon.
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