I don't always agree with Luttwak, but...

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I accidentally tapped on the screen and ended up at this old post/tweet.

Like many of the predictions on this (future) war, this one turned out to be utterly incorrect as well. Russians have been acting the same for at least the last 350 years, why all of a sudden would this have changed?

Even down to the promotion they haven't changed a thing.
 
I accidentally tapped on the screen and ended up at this old post/tweet.

Like many of the predictions on this (future) war, this one turned out to be utterly incorrect as well. Russians have been acting the same for at least the last 350 years, why all of a sudden would this have changed?

Even down to the promotion they haven't changed a thing.
Someone really had the insight...
 
EMmm I DONT KNOW WHAT YOU EHINK ABOUT CHINESE IN THIS WAR. BUT AS A CHINESE I AM VERY SAD ABOUT THIS TRAGEDY.
Whether you believe it or not ,China once signed an agreement on the situation in ukraine said that if ukr was attacked ,then china has the responsible to help. As you can see, now china is TOTALLY a friend of terriosts,helping mr putin to invade ukrain. Actually ,even if MOST of chinese are stupid and trusted mrPUTIN and his story,some of us are still helping. There are NAFOs in CHINA too. We help ukr buy drones and actually we have bought dozens of them. We send food for free to ukr people. We are fighting for ukr. So please just dont think all CHINESEs are bitch ,right. And sorry that our stupid GOV help RUZZIA
 
I accidentally tapped on the screen and ended up at this old post/tweet.

Like many of the predictions on this (future) war, this one turned out to be utterly incorrect as well. Russians have been acting the same for at least the last 350 years, why all of a sudden would this have changed?

Even down to the promotion they haven't changed a thing.
Russia has shown it has no problem sending it's young men into the meat grinder. I'm certain that the regime has minimized the actual losses to their people. It's about saving the regime, ie., Putin, and not it's people.
 
Russia has shown it has no problem sending it's young men into the meat grinder. I'm certain that the regime has minimized the actual losses to their people. It's about saving the regime, ie., Putin, and not it's people.
yes, there are many examples in the history. In china 's history its just a very normal thing. So as a chinese , i knew russia woulb be like that since the begining of the war. In country like russia and China or north korea , life is just worth a bag of rice or other rewards. People in these countries are full . They dont know what is freedom or justice. They only care about money , dignity,and maybe sex. Govs only need to tell them:1. IF THEY DONT GO TO WAR , THEIR COUNTRY (MONEY, DIGNITY AND SEX) WOULD GONE. 2.WAR IS AS EASY AS PLAYING VIDEO GAMES AND WE HAVE THE MOST POWERFUL WEAPONS, ENAMIES WOULD AFRAID AND RUN AWAY. Simply ,most people in our country and in russia or north korea dont care much wether there will be war, just because their S**t life is just like another war, no differences you know?
 
Taiwan and South Korea are instant example of how they are idiots. Recent earthquake and I haven't seen one pancaked building in Taiwan images. Yep you google it not a single one. I feel the asians when they do democracy they can do it well. Also Taiwans covid responce was great. No wonder they fear Taiwan they have to invade it .. to wipe in off the map lest their sheep learn of it.. Like Ukraine was on that track.
 
Z-Blogger Pyotr Shuvalov, a colonel in the Russian armed forces, expressed his pessimism on Telegram about the strategic and geopolitical situation from a Russian perspective, also providing an insight into the mentality of Russian civilians and its perception by veterans.

Although the Ukrainian army is "stuck in a stalemate", Shuvalov suggests the Russian army is in a very similar situation. Focusing on "advancing two bushes at a time" towards the "right-hand house in the first left-hand street of the settlement behind the district centre", the army would incur "considerable losses of men and equipment". Anyone in Russia sitting "on a warm sofa" and telling themselves "we will deal with the Chochols and be the ones left standing" is "stupid scum", Shuvalov adds. The war is not a "socialist competition", he continues, in which the aim is to fulfil quotas; for that reason, he dismisses as "pointless" reports of so-and-so many Abrams being destroyed.

Shuvalov dismisses the idea that capturing Charkiw – at a probable cost of five-digit losses – would end the threat to Belgorod. But the Russians would find themselves in such situations over and over again due to the leadership's lack of an answer on how a "satisfactory status quo with the possibility of long-term stabilisation" could be achieved. The army will continue to fight despite the stalemate, he assures his followers, but there are "big and unpleasant questions". Those who ask: "Didn't you blow up some Abrams tanks?" would be missing the important bit: There are more Abrams tanks than Armatas on the front, and their number is still small compared to America's and her allies' stocks. (Source)
 
Russia has shown it has no problem sending it's young men into the meat grinder. I'm certain that the regime has minimized the actual losses to their people. It's about saving the regime, ie., Putin, and not it's people.
You're absolutely right. But why did you like Luttwaks tweet then? Or was that a sarcastic like?
 
Z-Blogger Pyotr Shuvalov, a colonel in the Russian armed forces, expressed his pessimism on Telegram about the strategic and geopolitical situation from a Russian perspective, also providing an insight into the mentality of Russian civilians and its perception by veterans.

Although the Ukrainian army is "stuck in a stalemate", Shuvalov suggests the Russian army is in a very similar situation. Focusing on "advancing two bushes at a time" towards the "right-hand house in the first left-hand street of the settlement behind the district centre", the army would incur "considerable losses of men and equipment". Anyone in Russia sitting "on a warm sofa" and telling themselves "we will deal with the Chochols and be the ones left standing" is "stupid scum", Shuvalov adds. The war is not a "socialist competition", he continues, in which the aim is to fulfil quotas; for that reason, he dismisses as "pointless" reports of so-and-so many Abrams being destroyed.

Shuvalov dismisses the idea that capturing Charkiw – at a probable cost of five-digit losses – would end the threat to Belgorod. But the Russians would find themselves in such situations over and over again due to the leadership's lack of an answer on how a "satisfactory status quo with the possibility of long-term stabilisation" could be achieved. The army will continue to fight despite the stalemate, he assures his followers, but there are "big and unpleasant questions". Those who ask: "Didn't you blow up some Abrams tanks?" would be missing the important bit: There are more Abrams tanks than Armatas on the front, and their number is still small compared to America's and her allies' stocks. (Source)
For Putin this has to be a forever war, because he cant win it, if he ends it the charade that there are only 40k dead ends. How someone hasn't taken revenge on him, is amazing. How many presidents have been shot/hung by their own security detail? Never mind some random citizen getting through security. He has to need more bodies for the summer, so now the election is over, he must announce something soon.
 
You're absolutely right. But why did you like Luttwaks tweet then? Or was that a sarcastic like?
That was before the war, I believe. I overestimated Russian society's lack of tolerance for massive casualties
 
For Putin this has to be a forever war, because he cant win it, if he ends it the charade that there are only 40k dead ends. How someone hasn't taken revenge on him, is amazing. How many presidents have been shot/hung by their own security detail? Never mind some random citizen getting through security. He has to need more bodies for the summer, so now the election is over, he must announce something soon.
Yes, the only possible move for Putin would be to play until the end as the moment the war economy stops, the whole economy tanks.
 
Z-Blogger Pyotr Shuvalov, a colonel in the Russian armed forces, expressed his pessimism on Telegram about the strategic and geopolitical situation from a Russian perspective, also providing an insight into the mentality of Russian civilians and its perception by veterans.

Although the Ukrainian army is "stuck in a stalemate", Shuvalov suggests the Russian army is in a very similar situation. Focusing on "advancing two bushes at a time" towards the "right-hand house in the first left-hand street of the settlement behind the district centre", the army would incur "considerable losses of men and equipment". Anyone in Russia sitting "on a warm sofa" and telling themselves "we will deal with the Chochols and be the ones left standing" is "stupid scum", Shuvalov adds. The war is not a "socialist competition", he continues, in which the aim is to fulfil quotas; for that reason, he dismisses as "pointless" reports of so-and-so many Abrams being destroyed.

Shuvalov dismisses the idea that capturing Charkiw – at a probable cost of five-digit losses – would end the threat to Belgorod. But the Russians would find themselves in such situations over and over again due to the leadership's lack of an answer on how a "satisfactory status quo with the possibility of long-term stabilisation" could be achieved. The army will continue to fight despite the stalemate, he assures his followers, but there are "big and unpleasant questions". Those who ask: "Didn't you blow up some Abrams tanks?" would be missing the important bit: There are more Abrams tanks than Armatas on the front, and their number is still small compared to America's and her allies' stocks. (Source)
He sounds competent, so he'll probably fall out of a window sooner rather than later ...
 
Yes, the only possible move for Putin would be to play until the end as the moment the war economy stops, the whole economy tanks.
And what to think of at least tens of thousands of combat vets returning home as well as violent criminals. No matter whether they are peace-loving hipsters or ultra-nationalists all of them are going to be massively pissed about the war and how it was conducted. Mentally and physically scarred people being abandoned by the state etc. And in a state that makes it gospel that everything that happens is because of Dear Leader that will likely backfire as it did in the 90s and 2000s with vets from Chechnya causing problems.
 
Der Orkspanzer mit Großmutters Netz 62/24(r):
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NATO wants to drop voluntary fund and make it an obligation to send money to Ukraine.

Because the organization to defend democracy sometimes doesn't like the outcome of the democratic process.

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