Warfare HAMAS attack on Israel, Oct 2023 & Iran’s Proxies.

Bit of a sidebar, but are we seeing some freedom of manoeuvre because uncle joe is not up for re-election. So kamila will blame joe, trump will blame joe, but meanwhile the job gets done. Joe won’t care. Strange world we live in, if doing the right thing can only be done if your not looking for votes from one part of the electorate.
It’s once in a century kind of stars alignment, quite literally now or never. This, plus the US security establishment is ecstatic behind the closed doors, I’m sure. We are right now making crumble the whole Iranian ME domination project, which has been the main threat to the ME Pax Americana for the last twenty years or so - with their minimal involvement.

There is a reason why multi-billion security packages get constantly approved virtually without any serious objections and the munitions supply keeps flowing all this time, despite all this “ceasefire” nonsense… noise vs signal. Israel keeps fulfilling its part of the bargain, which is the foundation of the our relations with Americans since the Yom Kippur war - being the lynchpin of the US established order in the ME.
 
It’s once in a century kind of stars alignment, quite literally now or never. This, plus the US security establishment is ecstatic behind the closed doors, I’m sure. We are right now making crumble the whole Iranian ME domination project, which has been the main threat to the ME Pax Americana for the last twenty years or so - with their minimal involvement.

There is a reason why multi-billion security packages get constantly approved virtually without any serious objections and the munitions supply keeps flowing all this time, despite all this “ceasefire” nonsense… noise vs signal. Israel keeps fulfilling its part of the bargain, which is the foundation of the our relations with Americans since the Yom Kippur war - being the lynchpin of the US established order in the ME.
I’d think most of europe also.
 
I’d think most of europe also.
Oh, absolutely. Including France with its quasi-colonialist patrimonial aspirations towards Lebanon. Macron is soiling his thong right now. It’s just he won’t say it publicly for all the obvious reasons, but I won’t be wholly surprised to see French troops deployed in the South Lebanon at the end of the war under pretext of “peace keeping” and such. Explains why there was so little backlash (any at all?) from Israel officials to his moronic ceasefire calls.
Come to think about that, it looks like Suez Crisis gameplay almost perfectly replicated… lol
 
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looks like the iranian attack will be on 3 military air bases and an intelligence headquarters north of Tel Aviv
 

Bye bye Khamanei! (🤞)

looks like the iranian attack will be on 3 military air bases and an intelligence headquarters north of Tel Aviv
I think the timing is intentional. The IAF is busy over Gaza, Lebanon, Syria and Jemen. I don't see them having the capacity to meaningfully deter Iran as well at the same time and also the Americans are holding Israel back. They know they can get away with it without serious repercussions.

This has been said and proven wrong about Israel before ...

In any case their missile options at that range are limited (western countries really need more long range tactical and theater ground based missiles imo) and I don't see the US doing anything besides assisting Israeli air defences.
 

NYT: Iranian attack expected within ‘hours,’ will target airbases, intelligence HQ with drones and missiles

The New York Times quotes three Israeli officials saying the anticipated Iranian attack will include drones and missiles, as well as a US official anticipating ballistic missiles. It says the attack is expected “in the coming hours.”

When Iran attacked Israel in April, ballistic missiles were calculated to take 12 minutes to reach Israel from Iran, cruise missiles to take two hours, and drones some nine hours to reach their target.

The three Israeli officials quoted anonymously by the Times said that Iran would likely target three military air bases, and “an intelligence headquarters north of Tel Aviv” which it said has been evacuated.

While all-out war was averted in April, the Times cites diplomats and experts saying full-scale war is more likely now, “with Israel expected to strike back hard after any new Iranian attack.”
A repeat of April it seems, Iran needs to be seen doing something whilst really not doing anything to save face, but it they actually manage to cause damage those nuclear facilities will look very juicy...
 
First footage start coming out of Lebanon:
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Translated from Hebrew by Google:
Over 70 secret operations were carried out by IDF special unit fighters across the border in recent weeks as part of the preparation for the ground maneuver. In the targeted raids, Hezbollah tunnels were found in the Shiite villages near the border and the terrorists' anti-tank firing positions built in front of Israeli settlements. The amount of ammunition is unfathomable, most of it was destroyed in Lebanon, and a small part - maybe 10% was taken to Israel for research and explanation to the world. Rifles through launchers, maps, means of communication, up to commanders and equipment prepared for the moment of the S. Hezbollah has been preparing for years to raid the Galilee for the October 7 massacre at the northern border
 
Hezbollah = Hamas x 10. There will be arguments going on for years why they didn't join on October 7th, or did something like that before (they most certainly had plans and preparations). But if they did, they damage would have been incomprehensibly more severe than on October 7th.

We kind of knew it before. But now everybody has it right in front of their eyes. Some people still seriously entertained the idea to have some sort of agreement with Hezbollah only a couple of weeks ago. Nobody is talking about this now. No going back now.
 
Reportedly within hours. Bibi commented that they'd like to free the "Persian people" they other day. Could be more FAFO coming.
If only the Idiot-in-Chief felt the same way instead of throwing money at their oppressors ...
 

US official says Iran informed ‘international parties’ of the size and timing of attack

Iran informed “international parties” of the size and timing of its anticipated attack on Israel, a US Defense Department official tells Sky News Arabia.

The US expressed concern earlier over Iran’s ballistic missiles, which can reach Israel in less than 15 minutes.

A US-based Axios reporter writes on X that Iran is expected to attack Israel with ballistic missiles that can reach targets within 12 minutes, and not with drones or cruise missiles that take longer.
Maybe more than just 120 like last time...
 
So Iran backs down? After losing all those strong clever forces surrounding Israel, for pretty much nothing.

Billions literally blown up.
 
First footage start coming out of Lebanon:
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There was no direct clashes with Hezbollah operatives amid any of the raids.
I find it hard to believe that there were no direct clashes when raiding close to 1,000 fighting positions, storage dumps, OPs and bunkers.

Of course shooting/stabbing/strangling someone without them even knowing what's happening doesn't count as a direct clash ... ? 😇
 

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