Iran's apocalyptic thinking: 'They are not just fanatics, but fantasists who live in a completely different world'
-----------
After the American bombing, Iran is faced with a dilemma: retreat or fight back with all their might. Even though the ayatollahs are seriously weakened and are facing the most powerful armies in the world, they may still opt for a desperate war. Belief in a religious final battle and the return of a 'hidden imam' encourage this. "There are generals with a dangerous apocalyptic way of thinking."
Are the rulers in Tehran - like most countries - thinking rationally? Or are they looking forward to the End Times and does a war fit perfectly into that picture? Something special is going on with Iran, experts have been saying for some time. De Telegraaf previously wrote about Shiite end-time thinking and the nuclear program. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in particular is the core of the problem, according to Iranian researchers Kasra Aarabi and Saeid Golkar of the British Tony Blair Institute for Global Change.
The Revolutionary Guard was set up after the Iranian revolution of 1979 as a militia of bodyguards for the Shiite clerics. It has since become much more. The IRGC is an 'ideological army', a state within the state with its own intelligence service. And the guard is increasingly strict in its doctrine. When it became apparent around the turn of the century that many members were open to reforms in Iran, the reins were tightened. The current generation of IRGC members is therefore the most fanatical, write Aarabi and Golkar. Hatred of America and Israel forms the core of the doctrine.
Twelfth imam has 'gone into hiding'
But another dogma has also come to the fore: the coming of the Mahdi, the twelfth imam. He is a messiah-like figure who was born in the ninth century. His eleven predecessors were all murdered by enemies, but the twelfth imam never died. Instead, he went into “hiddenness” 1,150 years ago.
Since then he has lived among us, but he does not reveal himself. When the Mahdi finally comes forward, world peace will come, followed by the final judgment. That seems like good news. Only: disasters, plagues and wars precede his return. "His coming will bring about a final apocalyptic battle between two armies," says Aarabi.
For centuries, Shiites waited calmly for their Mahdi. After Ayatollah Khomeini's revolution in 1979, that resignation changed. The Mahdi will not come unless the Iranians actively pave the way for him, was the new doctrine. Leaders of the Revolutionary Guard increasingly see themselves as instruments for this.
Highway built for the imam
Former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmedinejad firmly believed that there were ways to speed up the return. For example, he spent $17 million restoring a mosque near the holy city of Qom, which has been named as the place where the Mahdi will return. Every Tuesday evening, families settle there with picnic blankets, just in case.
“Ahmadinejad even went so far,” Aarabi and Golkar say, “as to build a highway that directly connects the mosque to the Imam Khomeini airport in Tehran. In a meeting with the supreme leader, the president is said to have insisted on the highway so that in the event that the Mahdi reappears, he can travel directly to the airport without getting stuck in traffic.” Shiite clerics see signs everywhere that the Mahdi is at the door. Such as the rise of IS in Syria, the corona pandemic or the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The hard core within the Islamic republic believes that there is one last obstacle that is holding the Mahdi back: the diabolical state of Israel.