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- Apr 9, 2019
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Finding targets and carrying out air strikes isn't the problem (not counting political interference in intelligence work and military operations like the last sh*tshow), it's the leverage the Taliban has with foreigners still stuck in Afghanistan whether as retaliation or for use as human shields or hostages that is making any use of force complicated and politically risky.
I expect that situation to last until the Taliban has secured all of Afghanistan and has stabilized civil administration. Until they are fully in control and the country is more or less back up running any military action could have a stronger effect and sow dissent within various factions/rivals and the Taliban itself. If it shows the Taliban as weak it could incite more resistance. Could last longer if they want to play hard ball and try get political recognition and money out of it as well.
I expect that situation to last until the Taliban has secured all of Afghanistan and has stabilized civil administration. Until they are fully in control and the country is more or less back up running any military action could have a stronger effect and sow dissent within various factions/rivals and the Taliban itself. If it shows the Taliban as weak it could incite more resistance. Could last longer if they want to play hard ball and try get political recognition and money out of it as well.
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