So what options do people see?
1- Azerbaijan victory, regain lost ground
2- Armenians wear down Azerbaijans, no real change on ground
3- just fizzles along, with drones, arty strikes etc. for a few months, no change on ground.
4- Russia, Turkey and uncle tom cobbly join in and it goes crazy.
Any other options?
Russians themselves stated that there is no record of either Turkish military personnel and weaponry in Azerbaijan (i.e. F-16s) or large scale presence of Jihadi fighters on Azeri side. According to the Russians these rumors are either spread by Armenians or even Turkey which wants to draw Russia into another war.
Was this official Russian statement or bloggers/journalists opinion?
The Azerbaijanis use the Turkish drone tactics.Azerbaijani kamikaze drones targetting the Armenian tanks.
So what options do people see?
1- Azerbaijan victory, regain lost ground
2- Armenians wear down Azerbaijans, no real change on ground
3- just fizzles along, with drones, arty strikes etc. for a few months, no change on ground.
4- Russia, Turkey and uncle tom cobbly join in and it goes crazy.
Any other options?
The Azerbaijanis use the Turkish drone tactics.
The Turks pioneered a new drone tactics that has no equivalent in any NATO country or, possibly, even any country in the world.
While most of militaries in all over the world are concerned about their drone losses, the Turks are not as long as they achieve their goal.
I read a Polish article in a military magazine about the Turks' rationale.
Let's say, the Turks want to destroy a Tor missile system that costs $15 mln. They attack it with drones and are not scared of losing a few of them while doing so. The drone costs $0.5mln, so they can sacrifice a few in order to destroy the Tor. They consider their mission accomplished as long as a piece of the equipment they destroy is worth more money than the drones they lost.
They keep their drone production stable, so their number never goes down, as they produce more than they lose.
Also, after a MiG-29 manned by a Russian mercenary destroyed a Turkish Hawk SAM system in Libya, the Turks adapted, changed their tactics and shot down another MiG-29 with a Hawk SAM.
It looks like the Azeris learned their lessons from the Turks in Syria and Libya. They heavily invested in the technology and try to make it work. If they lose some equipment rather they soldiers, their losses will be easily replenished, so they will be able to recover quickly and resume the conflict once a year or even twice a year rather than once every 3-5 years. They will be able to take and keep a few thousands of hectares of N-K each time.Azerbaijanis UCAVs targetting Armenian reservists.
fight with armenia not enough and will fight iran together?arzerbaijan strongest!IAI Harop
Armenian side is trying to pin Turkey to involve of it's military assets alongside with Azebaijani forces in actual combat against them to get the sympathy of the international arena but that's far from being true. Just like their other claims like "Turkish backed jihadists" and "Turkish F-16s over Armenian airspace" just to misguide the reality of the situation which is a territorial dispute between two states after the collapse of USSR and going on for 30 years.
...
As I mentioned on another thread before, the situation of Southern Azerbaijani population who are living in the borders of Northern Iran has been a major problem between the relations of Iran and Azerbaijan which explains Iran's indirect support to Armenia and also Israel's strong relation with Azerbaijan. According to some sources Southern Azerbaijanis of the Iran started to stop and burn the supply trucks going to Armenia from northern Iran. You can search and find few videos of the burned trucks shared from different sources regarding the issue. Iranian authorities stated that they arrested 50 Azeri ethnic citizens who are suspected to involve these kind of activities in past three days.
View attachment 251559
If the claims are true the current conflict is becoming to extenting itself beyond two main states to other main regional actors. We will see how it ends.
We use essential cookies to make this site work, and optional cookies to enhance your experience.