Warfare Northwestern Aleppo offensive (2024)

I give it a 50/50 chance that what is northeast Syria will ultimately become a self-governed Kurdistan.
I’m not much of a gambler, but if such a state were to be established, it’s worth noting that around 80% of its inhabitants would likely be Arab. This demographic reality would make the concept of a "self-governed Kurdistan" in northeast Syria quite complex to implement.

Even if the U.S. were to stop Turkey, let’s not forget that Turkey has the capacity to deploy hundreds of its own “Lawrences” in the region. There’s always a Plan B, my friend—always. Turkey’s influence and ability to adapt its strategies in such a volatile region shouldn’t be underestimated.



1734551011278.webp
 
To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.


The first retorical broadside from the Israel side.
Turkey's presence in northern Syria is intended to establish a buffer zone and support a unified Syria, hosting the Syrian National Army in these areas. Unlike Israel, which has annexed the Golan Heights and opened it to settlers—a move widely regarded as occupation—Turkey's actions align with protecting its borders and ensuring regional stability.

To ignore the distinction between Turkey's buffer zones and Israel's settlement policies requires either blindness or deliberate ignorance. While Turkey supports local forces like it did with the Peshmerga in Iraq, Israel’s insistence on opposing Turkey instead of fostering regional solidarity risks isolating itself further.

Israel might be missing a golden opportunity to strengthen ties with Turkey, a key regional player, by choosing confrontation over cooperation.

1734551192780.webp
 
To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.

:cool:notworthy;:cool:
To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
 
To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.

1734551943453.webp
 
View attachment 510460

Your frustration is noted, but it’s important to stick to facts rather than resorting to personal attacks.

First, Azerbaijan didn’t “invade” Armenia. It reclaimed territories that were internationally recognized as part of Azerbaijan but were occupied by Armenia for decades. This was a territorial conflict, not an invasion.

Second, energy politics has always been about interests rather than values. Whoever controls energy resources often finds themselves in a favorable position diplomatically. This isn’t unique to the EU, Azerbaijan, or Turkey—it’s how global politics operates. Nations don’t have permanent allies, only permanent interests.

Lastly, while you criticize Turkey for its role in migration, it’s worth noting that Turkey currently hosts over 4 million refugees, bearing one of the largest burdens globally. It’s easy for European leaders to criticize from afar, but Turkey has shouldered this responsibility while simultaneously managing complex regional dynamics.

Yeah, yeah.

Turkey strong and such, we got it.
 
I’m not much of a gambler, but if such a state were to be established, it’s worth noting that around 80% of its inhabitants would likely be Arab. This demographic reality would make the concept of a "self-governed Kurdistan" in northeast Syria quite complex to implement.

Even if the U.S. were to stop Turkey, let’s not forget that Turkey has the capacity to deploy hundreds of its own “Lawrences” in the region. There’s always a Plan B, my friend—always. Turkey’s influence and ability to adapt its strategies in such a volatile region shouldn’t be underestimated.



View attachment 510461
Syria is a manufactured country with various communities and ethnicities. Who are these Arabs? Druze, Alawites, Christians, Sunnis, Shia? Syria is a fractured country without much cohesiveness. If war starts again, as it most assuredly will, the natural progression will be for it to fracture along ethnic lines.
 
Last edited:
Multiple reports that Russia is moving all it's gear from Syria to Libya,
 
To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
 
To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
 
It sure would be a shame of their bunch of lackies in Libya also came down with a bad case of the "run away, run away now" disease.

Libya being even less stable that Syria, and with no local government, to speak of, to "rely" on, whoever wants to overtake the country could easily do so.

However, considering how Europe and the US created the nightmarish hell-hole Libya is, and how the got kindly asked/told to F-off from Central Africa, I doubt anybody would welcome them with open arms. Western states, having already proven to Libya’s rival factions that they could not be relied upon, have been short of practical ideas for how to make their recurrent calls for foreign forces to leave a reality.

That being said, the two main military presence in Libya currently are Russia and Turkey, and the balance of power they created has been instrumental in freezing the Libyan conflict since the defeat of Khalifa Haftar’s offensive on Tripoli in June 2020.
Russia is there to deter social unrest, and Turkey to prevent new offensives by Haftar.

Both Turkey's and Russia's presence are very limited and barely visible, with very few military intervention since the end of the Tripoli war, and haven't even used their forces to take control of the local resources.

For Turkey, the aim is to set a Turkey-aligned military to then turn it into political and economic leverage.
However Libyan politicians who once welcomed Turkey have been pretty pissed at Ankhara's drone strikes, seen as a kind of active political interference.

For Russia, it is more about naval base in the Med and logistical hub for their operation in Sub-Saharan regions.

Globally Libya is more open to Turkey and Russia, while also courting Egypt and Saudi-Arabia, than to Western countries (US, UK, France, Italy).
 
Libya being even less stable that Syria, and with no local government, to speak of, to "rely" on, whoever wants to overtake the country could easily do so.

However, considering how Europe and the US created the nightmarish hell-hole Libya is, and how the got kindly asked/told to F-off from Central Africa, I doubt anybody would welcome them with open arms. Western states, having already proven to Libya’s rival factions that they could not be relied upon, have been short of practical ideas for how to make their recurrent calls for foreign forces to leave a reality.

That being said, the two main military presence in Libya currently are Russia and Turkey, and the balance of power they created has been instrumental in freezing the Libyan conflict since the defeat of Khalifa Haftar’s offensive on Tripoli in June 2020.
Russia is there to deter social unrest, and Turkey to prevent new offensives by Haftar.

Both Turkey's and Russia's presence are very limited and barely visible, with very few military intervention since the end of the Tripoli war, and haven't even used their forces to take control of the local resources.

For Turkey, the aim is to set a Turkey-aligned military to then turn it into political and economic leverage.
However Libyan politicians who once welcomed Turkey have been pretty pissed at Ankhara's drone strikes, seen as a kind of active political interference.

For Russia, it is more about naval base in the Med and logistical hub for their operation in Sub-Saharan regions.

Globally Libya is more open to Turkey and Russia, while also courting Egypt and Saudi-Arabia, than to Western countries (US, UK, France, Italy).
Turkish deep state watching closely to Libya
To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
 
To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
 
To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
Yep.
Its all about PKK, if Israel supports them surely Turks will creat an organization more troublesome than Hamas. Hope Bibi don't bitch Turks. As I said, cooporation is better than confrontation.
 
Back
Top