Warfare Russia/Ukraine War

[Mike1976]

1 all agree except Ukraine, trade for weapons.
2 agree, we dont want to come.
3 sound negotiable, Putin keeps Crimea and certified by Ukraine that it is Russian, Russia gives back 1 or 2 of the mainland regions, as DMZ.

Trump and others already hinted at this - now its showtime, some arguments - maybe even the Zelensky one was scripted - NATO offering to come was for sure scripted.

So hopefully ceasefire, then 4 weeks of urgent meetings, nice hotels etc. Then a peacedeal, presumably signed in Saudi, who agree to give Ukr $1BN for repair work.

This one is over, lock the thread!

It's not russia asking for peace, it's their enemy. The US has already shown it is willing to throw not just Ukraine, but it's own allies under the bus to get it in their delusional attempt to get one dictator to stand up to the other dictator which is bankrolling him some day down the line when Trump may well already long be out of office. All of that is a sign of weakness, and Putin doesn't respect weakness, only strength. Weakness = opportunity to him, a chance to increase the price of the Czar's signature even more, presented to him on a golden platter.

Ukraine will have to agree to every demand russia makes and even then russia will keep attacking them until the country is entirely under their control if the US hasn't forced them to surrender in the first place. Because the security guarantees weren't there, because they were paper thin or because russia did it's usual play of threatening nuclear war and their Euro opponents cowered away from acting.

You can't negotiate with Putin, you either stand up to him or you surrender unconditionally.

 

[Telmar]

So no, is the answer at the moment

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The issue here is we have limited leverage on him. Not counting a couple of infrastructure attacks in Russia, this is not that painful for Russia. I believe they have now much less casualties than before or that it is balanced between the two sides.

Putin knows that European military countries are still heavily lacking production and unwilling to engage soldiers on the field, and as for the USA the Trump electorate favors an agreement with Russia over anything else...even if it is doubtful that Russia would behave any differently than the Norks.

Trump said that if Putin does not accept the ceasefire, the world will be dissapointed. I don´t think the whole world would be: the Russians don´t mind and frankly many Americans as well don´t.

IMHO the way to push Putin to accept a deal is to make the war for them costly and disorganizing. My armchair general strategy would be to declare the 200 km outside of the 1993 borders of Ukraine an open game for missile attacks, drone, attacks, air attacks if possible, bridge destruction....and make that area very unliveable for the Russians. Same goes for the Black Sea. It must be always risky for any ship heading to a Russian harbor.

If a peace treaty would be drawn out, I think Ukraine should accept the loss of Crimea, Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts. Let Russia rebuild it.

 

[PegAsus]

So no, is the answer at the moment

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How unexpected...

 

[Musashi]

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/national-security-daily/2025/03/11/what-happened-to-keith-kellogg-00223867

 

[PegAsus]

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/national-security-daily/2025/03/11/what-happened-to-keith-kellogg-00223867

I wouldn't be surprised if they leave him out in the cold... He thinks too "Reagan-like", with strength against Russia, that doesn't fit the cuddly course of Dump Trump

 

[PEMM]

Experts opinions (I don't know them, but they are referred to as experts on the news site I read). Aligns with site consensus.

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[Chazman]

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[Chazman]

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[primer]

The new US sanctions target Russia’s energy sector from multiple angles. Key measures include: Blocking sanctions on Gazprom Neft and Surgutneftegas: These are Russia’s third- and fourth-largest oil producers, representing approximately 2.5 million bpd of output and 1 million bpd of exports. This marks the first time the United States has directly sanctioned major Russian oil companies. Designations on 183 oil tankers: The sanctions target vessels in Russia’s “shadow fleet,” which has been used to bypass the oil price cap. Ban on oilfield services: The United States has prohibited the provision of all oilfield services to Russia, a move aimed at curbing its long-term energy production capacity. Sanctions on two actively producing liquefied natural gas (LNG) facilities: Previously, the United States had only sanctioned non-operational Russian LNG projects such as Arctic LNG 2. Sanctions on Russian maritime insurers: The United States targeted top Russian ship insurers Ingosstrakh and Alphastrakhovanie. Phasing out a crucial general license for energy-related payments: Payments for Russian energy through US banks are now permitted only for wind-down purposes and will be fully prohibited starting March 12, 2025. Secondary sanctions: The United States sanctioned a Chinese oil terminal that facilitated a port call with a sanctioned Russian oil tanker.

By targeting 183 tankers in this shadow fleet and a Chinese port operator that was working with the fleet, the new sanctions significantly constrain Russia’s ability to circumvent the price cap. Russia will now struggle to ship its oil exclusively using non-sanctioned vessels. Ports and refineries in China and India, the two biggest buyers of Russian oil, are unlikely to engage with sanctioned vessels due to compliance risks. Just days before the new sanctions, China’s Shandong Port Group banned US-sanctioned vessels from its network, and an Indian official suggested the same policyfor Indian ports.

Better late than never.

 

[Musashi]

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[Chazman]

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[primer]

The U.S. should integrate a low-cost acoustic network to detect aerial threats developed by Ukraine into its own air defense systems, the commanding general of the U.S. Army Space and Missile Defense Command said Wednesday morning. Consisting of thousands of acoustic sensors across Ukraine, this system helps detect and track incoming Russian kamikaze drones, alert traditional air defenses in advance, and also dispatch ad hoc drone hunting teams to shoot them down.

 

[PegAsus]

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The ruZZians want so and Dump Trump is doing so... How blind you have to be not to see the connections here...

 

[profyler]

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If I were Poland I would start my Nuclear program immediately and definitely not be dependent on other nations.

 

[Picanha]

It would be much cheaper and quicker to buy Rafales with ASMPs than do all yourself.

EU countries should lump together a few monies to get Rafales 240 ASMPs and 4 nuclear subs from France.

Maybe also have a carrier fleet with France so about 4 large new carriers with ASMPs on board.

If the US comes back to the path of sanity the F35s can also be put on carriers with B61s one will get through to Putlers bunker just in case. And fry Moscow and St.Petersburg.

This is the path to go rest is Kindergarten.

 

[Soldier35]

Russian units using FPV drones "VT-40" showed the pursuit and attack of a drone on the Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer "Caesar". The video was filmed on the Rodinskoye-Pokrovsk highway in Donbass. The self-propelled howitzer "Caesar" came close to the front line and was immediately detected. The 155-mm wheeled self-propelled howitzer "Caesar" has been produced in France by Nexter since 2002. The firing range of the self-propelled howitzer is up to 55 km. As a result of the attack by the Russian FPV drone, the Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer "Caesar" was destroyed by fire.

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[Chazman]

US Envoy Witkoff leaves Moscow without cease-fire agreement after Putin rejects Trump’s terms: ‘A lot still needs to be done’

Putin met with Witkoff late Thursday night after having kept Witkoff waiting since roughly 12:30 p.m., according to flight tracking data and Russian reports, but ultimately sent him home with &#822…

nypost.com

 

[Chazman]

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[primer]

Zelensky has come out of this with his credibility intact.

 

[Soldier35]

An episode with a Ukrainian M777 howitzer abandoned in the Kursk region of Russia. The howitzer will be used by the Akhmat units, it is operational and almost like new. 155-mm howitzers have been produced in the United States since 2005, its firing range of the M982 Excalibur active-reactive projectile is up to 40 kilometers. The Ukrainian army received about 197 M777 howitzers from the United States. Now about 100 M777 howitzers have been destroyed, mainly by Lancet drones, some fell into the hands of the Russian army.

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